What Is MongoDB, Inc. (MDB) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, MongoDB, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $85.12, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $344.67. With 13 out of 13 models flagging downside (-75.3% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at -5.6% (fair value: $325.49), while First Chicago is the most conservative at -93.7% ($21.59). The spread between these extremes — +88.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About MDB?
13 of 13 models are currently active for MDB. All 13 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates MDB's intrinsic value at $27.79, implying -91.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MDB Rank in Services-Prepackaged Software?
Among 216 Services-Prepackaged Software stocks, MDB ranks #63 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places MDB in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Services-Prepackaged Software Stocks →
Within the Services-Prepackaged Software space, MongoDB, Inc. competes in an environment where R&D intensity often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is MDB a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MDB a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for MongoDB, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, MongoDB, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.3/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +88.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MDB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MDB's 13 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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