What Is Varonis Systems, Inc. (VRNS) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Varonis Systems, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $14.04, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $48.19. With 13 out of 13 models flagging downside (-70.9% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $45.42 (-5.7%), versus ML-RIV at $3.18 (-93.4%). This +87.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About VRNS?
13 of 13 models are currently active for VRNS. All 13 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates VRNS's intrinsic value at $11.85, implying -75.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does VRNS Rank in Services-Prepackaged Software?
Among 216 Services-Prepackaged Software stocks, VRNS ranks #73 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 places VRNS in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Services-Prepackaged Software Stocks →
Within the Services-Prepackaged Software space, Varonis Systems, Inc. competes in an environment where R&D intensity often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is VRNS a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VRNS a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Varonis Systems, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Varonis Systems, Inc. is rated at 8.0/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +87.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every VRNS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across VRNS's 13 active models, average confidence is 31%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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