Endava plc (DAVA) Fair Value 2026

DAVA · Software - Infrastructure ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 4 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (16/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Endava plc (DAVA) trades at $3.21, versus a $14.14 median fair value across its 4 active models — 340.4% above the current price. QOC: 7.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 16/100 (SAFE). 4/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
DAVA
Price
$3.21
Quality Score
7.6/10
Value Trap Risk
16/100
Models Active
4/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +460.3% upside with 57% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (4/13) may reduce confidence

Is Endava plc (DAVA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 4-model valuation engine, Endava plc (DAVA) appears undervalued as of : the median of 4 independent fair value estimates is $14.14, 340.4% above the current price of $3.21. Estimates range from $9.61 to $17.98. DAVA scores 7.6/10 on fundamental quality and 16/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. DAVA’s +340.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Software - Infrastructure sector median is -23.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Endava plc Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give DAVA?

4 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.21)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $17.98 +460.3%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $9.61 +199.5%
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What Is DAVA's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 4 independent models · $9.61 to $17.98

CirclFi's 4 active models place Endava plc (DAVA) between $9.61 and $17.98 per share, a spread of 59% of the median. The median of that range — $14.14 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for DAVA, against a current price of $3.21.

Low · EROICHigh · EPV
$9.61median $14.14$17.98
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$9.61
Most bullish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$17.98
Model agreement4 bullish · 0 bearishmoderate

A band of this width is typical. The methods agree on direction but weight growth, reinvestment and risk differently, so treat the median as a centre of gravity rather than a precise target.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on DAVA, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Endava plc (DAVA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Endava plc is potentially undervalued at its current price of $3.21. Based on our 13-model framework, Endava plc's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $14.14 — representing +340.4% implied upside — with 4 out of 4 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: EPV targets $17.98 (+460.3%), versus EROIC at $9.61 (+199.5%). This +260.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About DAVA?

4 of 13 models are currently active for DAVA. All 4 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for DAVA is $14.14 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DAVA Rank in Software - Infrastructure?

Among 189 Software - Infrastructure stocks, DAVA ranks #60 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.6 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Infrastructure Stocks →

Endava plc's positioning within the Software - Infrastructure segment means that customer acquisition cost (CAC) plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including enterprise adoption — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is DAVA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DAVA a score of 16/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

4 of 13 models are active for Endava plc. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Endava plc earns a quality score of 7.6/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +260.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DAVA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DAVA's 4 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Endava plc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Infrastructure Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Infrastructure stocks with 13-model coverage

VRNSVaronis Systems, Inc.QOC 7.6CINTCI&T Inc.QOC 7.6APPNAppian CorporationQOC 7.7WIXWix.com Ltd.QOC 7.6EVTCEVERTEC, Inc.QOC 7.7HPAIHelport AI LimitedQOC 7.6TCXTucows Inc.QOC 5.7ZENAZenaTech, Inc.QOC 4.5RAMPLiveRamp Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.1FTNTFortinet, Inc.QOC 9.7QLYSQualys, Inc.QOC 9.7

Read investment analysis: VRNS · CINT · APPN · WIX · EVTC · HPAI · TCX · ZENA · RAMP · FTNT · QLYS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to DAVA?

7 companies across all industries closest to DAVA’s Quality of Company score of 7.6/10.

MOSThe Mosaic CompanyQOC 7.6LBLandBridge Company LLCQOC 7.6AAMIAcadian Asset Management Inc.QOC 7.6HLMNHillman Solutions Corp.QOC 7.6AWKAmerican Water Works Company, Inc.QOC 7.6IDAIDACORP, Inc.QOC 7.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MOS · LB · AAMI · HLMN · AWK · IDA · NVDA

Where Does DAVA Sit in CirclFi's Software - Infrastructure Rankings?

DAVA is ranked against every other Software - Infrastructure stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Infrastructure stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Endava plc’s Valuation?

What is Endava plc's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Endava plc (DAVA)'s intrinsic value at $14.14 — the median of 4 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $9.61 to $17.98. The Quality of Company score is 7.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DAVA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.21, 4 of 4 active models suggest DAVA may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 4 fair value estimates is $14.14, 340.4% above the current price of $3.21 — a consensus view that DAVA is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Endava plc's business model in Software - Infrastructure.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.6 mean for DAVA?

Endava plc's QOC of 7.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DAVA?

CirclFi analyzes DAVA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 4 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on DAVA?

Of the 4 models currently active on DAVA, Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bullish at $17.98 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $9.61. CirclFi's published fair value for DAVA is the median of that range, $14.14, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 59% of the median — a normal spread for a company of this profile. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is DAVA a value trap in 2026?

Endava plc's Value Trap score is 16/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 4-model valuation engine, Endava plc (DAVA) has a median fair value of $14.14 — 340.4% above the current price of $3.21 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/DAVA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this DAVA valuation
  • Financial statements: Endava plc 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001656081) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for DAVA as of ; valuations recomputed .

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