Kingsway Corporation (KWY) Fair Value 2026

KWY · Asset Management ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (37/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Kingsway Corporation (KWY) trades at $10.02. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 37/100 (LOW). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
KWY
Price
$10.02
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
37/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: 1 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give KWY?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.02)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Low Conviction
$2.05 -79.5%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Kingsway Corporation (KWY) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Kingsway Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $2.05, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $10.02. With 1 out of 1 models flagging downside (-79.5% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth.

What Do the Models Say About KWY?

1 of 13 models are currently active for KWY. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KWY Rank in Asset Management?

Among 186 Asset Management stocks, KWY ranks #60 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Asset Management Stocks →

Kingsway Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is KWY a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KWY a score of 37/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Kingsway Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Kingsway Corporation is rated at 6.5/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KWY valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KWY's 1 active models, average confidence is 9%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Kingsway Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Asset Management Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Asset Management stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: MAIN · PFX · TSLX · CRBG · IVZ · MGLD · FTF · FGNX · HNNA · HLNE · AMP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to KWY?

7 companies across all industries closest to KWY’s Quality of Company score of 6.5/10.

Read investment analysis: EDIT · VLRS · BEAM · HUYA · ACB · BSBR · NVDA

Where Does KWY Sit in CirclFi's Asset Management Rankings?

KWY is ranked against every other Asset Management stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Asset Management stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Kingsway Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Kingsway Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Kingsway Corporation (KWY). The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KWY overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.02, 0 of 1 active models suggest KWY may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Kingsway Corporation's business model in Asset Management.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for KWY?

Kingsway Corporation's QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KWY?

CirclFi analyzes KWY with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is KWY a value trap in 2026?

Kingsway Corporation's Value Trap score is 37/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Kingsway Corporation (KWY) a Quality of Company score of 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/KWY/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this KWY valuation
  • Financial statements: Kingsway Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001072627) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for KWY as of ; valuations recomputed .