Oxford Square Capital Corp. (OXSQ) Fair Value 2026

OXSQ · Asset Management ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (40/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Oxford Square Capital Corp. (OXSQ) trades at $1.36, versus a $1.77 median fair value across its 2 active models — 29.8% above the current price. QOC: 4.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 40/100 (WARN). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
OXSQ
Price
$1.36
Quality Score
4.8/10
Value Trap Risk
40/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +154.8% upside with 41% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 40 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Oxford Square Capital Corp. (OXSQ) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Oxford Square Capital Corp. (OXSQ) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $1.77, 29.8% above the current price of $1.36. Estimates range from $0.07 to $3.48. OXSQ scores 4.8/10 on fundamental quality and 40/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. OXSQ’s +29.8% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Asset Management sector median is -4.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Oxford Square Capital Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give OXSQ?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.36)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $0.07 -95.2%
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $3.48 +154.8%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Oxford Square Capital Corp. (OXSQ) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Oxford Square Capital Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.77, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $1.37. With a median implied return of +29.8% across a split 1–1 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +250.0% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +154.8% (fair value: $3.48), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -95.2% ($0.07). The spread between these extremes — +250.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About OXSQ?

2 of 13 models are currently active for OXSQ. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for OXSQ is $1.77 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OXSQ Rank in Asset Management?

Among 187 Asset Management stocks, OXSQ ranks #132 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Asset Management Stocks →

Oxford Square Capital Corp. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is OXSQ a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OXSQ a score of 40/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Oxford Square Capital Corp.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Oxford Square Capital Corp.'s fundamental quality profile registers 4.8/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +250.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OXSQ valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OXSQ's 2 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Oxford Square Capital Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Asset Management Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Asset Management stocks with 13-model coverage

MLCIMount Logan Capital Inc.QOC 4.8GUTThe Gabelli Utility TrustQOC 4.8TWAVTaoWeave, Inc.QOC 4.8HRZNHorizon Technology Finance CorporationQOC 4.8CWDCaliberCos Inc.QOC 4.8ZSTKZeroStack Corp.QOC 4.8RGTRoyce Global Trust, Inc.QOC 2.2BMNMBimini Capital Management, Inc.QOC 7.3EARNEllington Credit CompanyQOC 5.8HLNEHamilton Lane IncorporatedQOC 9.3AMPAmeriprise Financial, Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: MLCI · GUT · TWAV · HRZN · CWD · ZSTK · RGT · BMNM · EARN · HLNE · AMP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to OXSQ?

7 companies across all industries closest to OXSQ’s Quality of Company score of 4.8/10.

GBUXGivBux, Inc.QOC 4.8CNSYCerenome, Inc.QOC 4.8IVHIInvech Holdings, Inc.QOC 4.8ONMDOneMedNet CorporationQOC 4.8TRIBTrinity Biotech plcQOC 4.8TTRXTurn Therapeutics Inc.QOC 4.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: GBUX · CNSY · IVHI · ONMD · TRIB · TTRX · NVDA

Where Does OXSQ Sit in CirclFi's Asset Management Rankings?

OXSQ is ranked against every other Asset Management stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Asset Management stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Oxford Square Capital Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Oxford Square Capital Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Oxford Square Capital Corp. (OXSQ)'s intrinsic value at $1.77 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.07 to $3.48. The Quality of Company score is 4.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OXSQ overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.36, 1 of 2 active models suggest OXSQ may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $1.77, 29.8% above the current price of $1.36 — a consensus view that OXSQ is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Oxford Square Capital Corp.'s business model in Asset Management.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.8 mean for OXSQ?

Oxford Square Capital Corp.'s QOC of 4.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OXSQ?

CirclFi analyzes OXSQ with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is OXSQ a value trap in 2026?

Oxford Square Capital Corp.'s Value Trap score is 40/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Oxford Square Capital Corp. (OXSQ) has a median fair value of $1.77 — 29.8% above the current price of $1.36 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/OXSQ/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this OXSQ valuation
  • Financial statements: Oxford Square Capital Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001259429) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for OXSQ as of ; valuations recomputed .