Hennessy Advisors, Inc. (HNNA) Fair Value 2026

HNNA · Investment Advice ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Hennessy Advisors, Inc. (HNNA) trades at $10.03, approximately 48% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $19.41. QOC: 8.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HNNA
Price
$10.03
Quality Score
8.2/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +93.5% upside with 58% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.03)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$19.41 +93.5%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$7.16 -28.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$11.76 +17.3%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$12.49 +24.6%

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What Is Hennessy Advisors, Inc. (HNNA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Hennessy Advisors, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $12.75, suggesting a +27.1% average upside from the current price of $10.03. While 9 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 4 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $22.16 (+120.9%), versus Markov DDM at $5.42 (-46.0%). This +166.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About HNNA?

13 of 13 models are currently active for HNNA. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates HNNA's intrinsic value at $19.41, implying +93.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HNNA Rank in Investment Advice?

Among 48 Investment Advice stocks, HNNA ranks #18 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places HNNA in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Investment Advice Stocks →

Hennessy Advisors, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is HNNA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HNNA a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Hennessy Advisors, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Hennessy Advisors, Inc. is rated at 8.2/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +166.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HNNA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HNNA's 13 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Hennessy Advisors, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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Frequently Asked Questions About Hennessy Advisors, Inc.

What is Hennessy Advisors, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Hennessy Advisors, Inc. (HNNA) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $19.41. The Quality of Company score is 8.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HNNA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.03, 9 of 13 active models suggest HNNA may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Hennessy Advisors, Inc.'s business model in Investment Advice.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.2 mean for HNNA?

Hennessy Advisors, Inc.'s QOC of 8.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HNNA?

CirclFi analyzes HNNA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is HNNA a value trap in 2026?

Hennessy Advisors, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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