Terrestrial Energy Inc. (IMSR) Fair Value 2026

IMSR · Fabricated Plate Work (Boiler Shops) ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Terrestrial Energy Inc. (IMSR) trades at $5.39, approximately 110% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.57. QOC: 4.9/10. 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
IMSR
Price
$5.39
Quality Score
4.9/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: 11 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.9/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.39)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$2.57 -52.3%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$0.29 -94.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$2.27 -57.9%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$1.17 -78.4%

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What Is Terrestrial Energy Inc. (IMSR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Terrestrial Energy Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.83, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $5.40. With 10 out of 11 models flagging downside (-66.0% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $8.39 (+55.5%), while RCMH-DCF — the most conservative — estimates $0.20 (-96.4%). This +151.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Terrestrial Energy Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About IMSR?

11 of 13 models are currently active for IMSR. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates IMSR's intrinsic value at $2.57, implying -52.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does IMSR Rank in Fabricated Plate Work (Boiler Shops)?

Among 4 Fabricated Plate Work (Boiler Shops) stocks, IMSR ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

As a energy sector, Terrestrial Energy Inc. operates in a sector where reserve life index is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating IMSR should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is IMSR a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for IMSR. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Terrestrial Energy Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Terrestrial Energy Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 4.9/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +151.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every IMSR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across IMSR's 11 active models, average confidence is 26%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Terrestrial Energy Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Fabricated Plate Work (Boiler Shops) Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

3 related Fabricated Plate Work (Boiler Shops) stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: GTLS · SMR · NKLR

Frequently Asked Questions About Terrestrial Energy Inc.

What is Terrestrial Energy Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Terrestrial Energy Inc. (IMSR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $2.57. The Quality of Company score is 4.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is IMSR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.39, 1 of 11 active models suggest IMSR may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Terrestrial Energy Inc.'s business model in Fabricated Plate Work (Boiler Shops).

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.9 mean for IMSR?

Terrestrial Energy Inc.'s QOC of 4.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on IMSR?

CirclFi analyzes IMSR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is IMSR a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for IMSR at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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