DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. (DMAC) Fair Value 2026

DMAC · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. (DMAC) trades at $7.64, approximately 264% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.10. QOC: 5.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
DMAC
Price
$7.64
Quality Score
5.0/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +7.2% upside with 15% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. (DMAC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. (DMAC) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $3.40, 55.6% below the current price of $7.64. Estimates range from $0.47 to $9.22. DMAC scores 5.0/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($7.64)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$2.10 -72.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$3.40 -55.6%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$8.19 +7.2%

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What Is DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. (DMAC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. at its current price of $7.64. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $4.54 (-40.6% average return), with 4 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, Sentiment SOTP sees the most upside at +20.6% (fair value: $9.22), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -93.9% ($0.47). The spread between these extremes — +114.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About DMAC?

7 of 13 models are currently active for DMAC. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates DMAC's intrinsic value at $2.10, implying -72.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does DMAC Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 431 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, DMAC ranks #207 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

As a healthcare company, DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. operates in a sector where R&D productivity ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating DMAC should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is DMAC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns DMAC a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 5.0/10. This mixed score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +114.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every DMAC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across DMAC's 7 active models, average confidence is 26%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AZN · CPRX · HRMY · NVO · SIGA

See all Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc.

What is DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. (DMAC) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $2.10. The Quality of Company score is 5.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is DMAC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $7.64, 2 of 7 active models suggest DMAC may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $3.40, 55.6% below the current price of $7.64 — a consensus view that DMAC is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc.'s business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.0 mean for DMAC?

DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc.'s QOC of 5.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on DMAC?

CirclFi analyzes DMAC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is DMAC a value trap in 2026?

DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, DiaMedica Therapeutics Inc. (DMAC) has a median fair value of $3.40 — 55.6% below the current price of $7.64 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/DMAC/ · Methodology

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