Glacier Bancorp, Inc. (GBCI) Fair Value 2026

GBCI · Banks - Regional ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Glacier Bancorp, Inc. (GBCI) trades at $46.88, versus a $22.25 median fair value across its 6 active models — 52.5% below the current price. QOC: 8.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GBCI
Price
$46.88
Quality Score
8.2/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.2/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Glacier Bancorp, Inc. (GBCI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Glacier Bancorp, Inc. (GBCI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $22.25, 52.5% below the current price of $46.88. Estimates range from $14.03 to $55.40. GBCI scores 8.2/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. GBCI’s -52.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Banks - Regional sector median is -22.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Glacier Bancorp, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GBCI?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($46.88)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $20.05 -57.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $21.77 -53.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $14.03 -70.1%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 3 additional models including ML-RIV, Regime Cross-Sectional, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 6 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is GBCI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $14.03 to $55.40

CirclFi's 6 active models place Glacier Bancorp, Inc. (GBCI) between $14.03 and $55.40 per share, a spread of 186% of the median. The median of that range — $22.25 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GBCI, against a current price of $46.88.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Regime Cross
$14.03median $22.25$55.40
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$14.03
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$55.40
Model agreement1 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GBCI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GBCI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Glacier Bancorp, Inc. (GBCI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Glacier Bancorp, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $22.25, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $46.88. With 5 out of 6 models flagging downside (-52.5% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +18.2% (fair value: $55.40), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -70.1% ($14.03). The spread between these extremes — +88.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About GBCI?

6 of 13 models are currently active for GBCI. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for GBCI is $22.25 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GBCI Rank in Banks - Regional?

Among 352 Banks - Regional stocks, GBCI ranks #139 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places GBCI in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Banks - Regional Stocks →

Within the Banks - Regional space, Glacier Bancorp, Inc. competes in an environment where return on tangible equity often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is GBCI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GBCI a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for Glacier Bancorp, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Glacier Bancorp, Inc. is rated at 8.2/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +88.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GBCI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GBCI's 6 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Glacier Bancorp, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Banks - Regional Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Banks - Regional stocks with 13-model coverage

BCALCalifornia BanCorpQOC 8.2GGALGrupo Financiero Galicia S.A.QOC 8.2MBWMMercantile Bank CorporationQOC 8.2CUBICustomers Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.2BPOPPopular, Inc.QOC 8.2SBFGSB Financial Group, Inc.QOC 8.2PEBKPeoples Bancorp of North Carolina, Inc.QOC 7.8EGBNEagle Bancorp, Inc.QOC 6.8FCFFirst Commonwealth Financial CorporationQOC 8.5STBAS&T Bancorp, Inc.QOC 9.3ESQEsquire Financial Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: BCAL · GGAL · MBWM · CUBI · BPOP · SBFG · PEBK · EGBN · FCF · STBA · ESQ

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GBCI?

6 companies across all industries closest to GBCI’s Quality of Company score of 8.2/10.

NGVTIngevity CorporationQOC 8.2NOBHNobility Homes, Inc.QOC 8.2RAILFreightCar America, Inc.QOC 8.2PANLPangaea Logistics Solutions Ltd.QOC 8.2ERIIEnergy Recovery, Inc.QOC 8.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NGVT · NOBH · RAIL · PANL · ERII · NVDA

Where Does GBCI Sit in CirclFi's Banks - Regional Rankings?

GBCI is ranked against every other Banks - Regional stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Banks - Regional stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Glacier Bancorp, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Glacier Bancorp, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Glacier Bancorp, Inc. (GBCI)'s intrinsic value at $22.25 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $14.03 to $55.40. The Quality of Company score is 8.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GBCI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $46.88, 1 of 6 active models suggest GBCI may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $22.25, 52.5% below the current price of $46.88 — a consensus view that GBCI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Glacier Bancorp, Inc.'s business model in Banks - Regional.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.2 mean for GBCI?

Glacier Bancorp, Inc.'s QOC of 8.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GBCI?

CirclFi analyzes GBCI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GBCI?

Of the 6 models currently active on GBCI, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $55.40 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $14.03. CirclFi's published fair value for GBCI is the median of that range, $22.25, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 186% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GBCI a value trap in 2026?

Glacier Bancorp, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Glacier Bancorp, Inc. (GBCI) has a median fair value of $22.25 — 52.5% below the current price of $46.88 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GBCI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GBCI valuation
  • Financial statements: Glacier Bancorp, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000868671) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GBCI as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 6 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on GBCI.

Unlock All 6 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

3 models hidden for GBCI Unlock All 6 — $39/mo