Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima (EDN) Fair Value 2026

EDN · Utilities - Regulated Electric ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-31, Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima (EDN) trades at $23.61, versus a $31.47 median fair value across its 9 active models — 33.3% above the current price. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $67.98.

Key Facts

Ticker
EDN
Price
$23.61
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +187.9% upside with 37% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (9/13) may reduce confidence

Is Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima (EDN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima (EDN) appears undervalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $31.47, 33.3% above the current price of $23.61. Estimates range from $1.31 to $67.98. EDN scores 6.5/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,804 rated companies as of 2026-08-31. EDN’s +33.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Utilities - Regulated Electric sector median is -25.5%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give EDN?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($23.61)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $67.98 +187.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $32.87 +39.2%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $24.22 +2.6%
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $1.31 -94.4%
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What Is EDN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $1.31 to $67.98

CirclFi's 9 active models place Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima (EDN) between $1.31 and $67.98 per share, a spread of 212% of the median. The median of that range — $31.47 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for EDN, against a current price of $23.61.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · Bayesian DCF
$1.31median $31.47$67.98
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$1.31
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$67.98
Model agreement6 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for EDN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on EDN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima (EDN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima's intrinsic value is estimated at $31.47, suggesting a +33.3% median upside from the current price of $23.61. While 6 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: Bayesian DCF targets $67.98 (+187.9%), versus Dynamic NAV at $1.31 (-94.4%). This +282.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About EDN?

9 of 13 models are currently active for EDN. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for EDN is $31.47 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $67.98 on its own, implying +187.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does EDN Rank in Utilities - Regulated Electric?

Among 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, EDN ranks #37 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Utilities - Regulated Electric space, Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima competes in an environment where payout ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is EDN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns EDN a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima's fundamental quality profile registers 6.5/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +282.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every EDN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across EDN's 9 active models, average confidence is 24%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Utilities - Regulated Electric Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks with 13-model coverage

FEFirstEnergy Corp.QOC 6.5NWENorthWestern Energy Group, Inc.QOC 6.2TXNMTXNM Energy, Inc.QOC 6.6NKLRTerra Innovatum Global N.V.QOC 5.3SOThe Southern CompanyQOC 6.7IMSRTerrestrial Energy Inc.QOC 5.1DUKDuke Energy CorporationQOC 7.8CNPCenterPoint Energy, Inc.QOC 7.3PNWPinnacle West Capital CorporationQOC 7.0CIGCompanhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIGQOC 8.5GNEGenie Energy Ltd.QOC 8.4

Read investment analysis: FE · NWE · TXNM · NKLR · SO · IMSR · DUK · CNP · PNW · CIG · GNE

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to EDN?

7 companies across all industries closest to EDN’s Quality of Company score of 6.5/10.

UHALU-Haul Holding CompanyQOC 6.5ADCTADC Therapeutics SAQOC 6.5UISUnisys CorporationQOC 6.5APDAir Products and Chemicals, Inc.QOC 6.5ARRYArray Technologies, Inc.QOC 6.5ASNDAscendis Pharma A/SQOC 6.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: UHAL · ADCT · UIS · APD · ARRY · ASND · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima’s Valuation?

What is Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima (EDN)'s intrinsic value at $31.47 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-31, ranging from $1.31 to $67.98. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $67.98 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is EDN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $23.61, 7 of 9 active models suggest EDN may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $31.47, 33.3% above the current price of $23.61 — a consensus view that EDN is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima's business model in Utilities - Regulated Electric.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for EDN?

Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima's QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on EDN?

CirclFi analyzes EDN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on EDN?

Of the 9 models currently active on EDN, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $67.98 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $1.31. CirclFi's published fair value for EDN is the median of that range, $31.47, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 212% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is EDN a value trap in 2026?

Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Empresa Distribuidora y Comercializadora Norte Sociedad Anónima (EDN) has a median fair value of $31.47 — 33.3% above the current price of $23.61 — as of 2026-08-31.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/EDN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this EDN valuation

Market data for EDN as of ; valuations recomputed .

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