Xperi Inc. (XPER) Fair Value 2026

XPER · Software - Application ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 4 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (15/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Xperi Inc. (XPER) trades at $6.00, versus a $14.50 median fair value across its 4 active models — 141.7% above the current price. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 15/100 (SAFE). 4/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
XPER
Price
$6.00
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
15/100
Models Active
4/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +204.8% upside with 7% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (4/13) may reduce confidence

Is Xperi Inc. (XPER) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 4-model valuation engine, Xperi Inc. (XPER) appears undervalued as of : the median of 4 independent fair value estimates is $14.50, 141.7% above the current price of $6.00. Estimates range from $4.91 to $26.39. XPER scores 6.6/10 on fundamental quality and 15/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. XPER’s +141.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Software - Application sector median is -25.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Xperi Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give XPER?

4 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($6.00)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $18.29 +204.8%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $4.91 -18.1%
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What Is XPER's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 4 independent models · $4.91 to $26.39

CirclFi's 4 active models place Xperi Inc. (XPER) between $4.91 and $26.39 per share, a spread of 148% of the median. The median of that range — $14.50 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for XPER, against a current price of $6.00.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · FTNN
$4.91median $14.50$26.39
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$4.91
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$26.39
Model agreement3 bullish · 1 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for XPER. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on XPER, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Xperi Inc. (XPER) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Xperi Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $14.50. At a current market price of $6.00, 3 of 4 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +141.7%. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +339.8% (fair value: $26.39), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -18.1% ($4.91). The spread between these extremes — +357.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About XPER?

4 of 13 models are currently active for XPER. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for XPER is $14.50 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does XPER Rank in Software - Application?

Among 263 Software - Application stocks, XPER ranks #141 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Application Stocks →

Within the Software - Application space, Xperi Inc. competes in an environment where net revenue retention (NRR) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is XPER a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns XPER a score of 15/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

4 of 13 models are active for Xperi Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Xperi Inc. is rated at 6.6/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +357.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every XPER valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across XPER's 4 active models, average confidence is 26%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Xperi Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Application Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Application stocks with 13-model coverage

DOMODomo, Inc.QOC 6.6SCORcomScore, Inc.QOC 6.5NXTTNext Technology Holding Inc.QOC 6.6CRNCCerence Inc.QOC 6.5WLTHWealthfront CorporationQOC 6.6FIGFigma, Inc.QOC 6.5CNTMConnectM Technology Solutions, Inc.QOC 4.8NOWServiceNow, Inc.QOC 9.4PTRNPattern Group Inc.QOC 8.0ADSKAutodesk, Inc.QOC 9.9PTCPTC Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: DOMO · SCOR · NXTT · CRNC · WLTH · FIG · CNTM · NOW · PTRN · ADSK · PTC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to XPER?

6 companies across all industries closest to XPER’s Quality of Company score of 6.6/10.

WLKWestlake CorporationQOC 6.6DLHCDLH Holdings Corp.QOC 6.6CSANCosan S.A.QOC 6.6IVFHInnovative Food Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.6HTZHertz Global Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: WLK · DLHC · CSAN · IVFH · HTZ · NVDA

Where Does XPER Sit in CirclFi's Software - Application Rankings?

XPER is ranked against every other Software - Application stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Application stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Xperi Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Xperi Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Xperi Inc. (XPER)'s intrinsic value at $14.50 — the median of 4 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $4.91 to $26.39. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is XPER overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $6.00, 3 of 4 active models suggest XPER may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 4 fair value estimates is $14.50, 141.7% above the current price of $6.00 — a consensus view that XPER is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Xperi Inc.'s business model in Software - Application.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for XPER?

Xperi Inc.'s QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on XPER?

CirclFi analyzes XPER with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 4 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on XPER?

Of the 4 models currently active on XPER, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $26.39 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $4.91. CirclFi's published fair value for XPER is the median of that range, $14.50, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 148% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is XPER a value trap in 2026?

Xperi Inc.'s Value Trap score is 15/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 4-model valuation engine, Xperi Inc. (XPER) has a median fair value of $14.50 — 141.7% above the current price of $6.00 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/XPER/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this XPER valuation
  • Financial statements: Xperi Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001788999) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for XPER as of ; valuations recomputed .

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