What Is Adeia Inc. (ADEA) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Adeia Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $15.33, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $27.68. With 11 out of 12 models flagging downside (-44.6% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $28.02 (+1.2%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $3.36 (-87.9%). This +89.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Adeia Inc.'s intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About ADEA?
12 of 13 models are currently active for ADEA. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ADEA's intrinsic value at $18.67, implying -32.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ADEA Rank in Software - Application?
Among 20 Software - Application stocks, ADEA ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.5 places ADEA in the top tier.
As a technology sector, Adeia Inc. operates in a sector where customer acquisition cost (CAC) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ADEA should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is ADEA a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ADEA a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Adeia Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Adeia Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.5/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +89.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ADEA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ADEA's 12 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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