Treasure Global Inc. (TGL) Fair Value 2026

TGL · Software - Application ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

DANGER (67/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Treasure Global Inc. (TGL) trades at $2.53, versus a $8.92 median fair value across its 2 active models — 252.4% above the current price. QOC: 4.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 67/100 (DANGER). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TGL
Price
$2.53
Quality Score
4.8/10
Value Trap Risk
67/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: ML-RIV suggests +495.5% upside with 57% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 67 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Treasure Global Inc. (TGL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Treasure Global Inc. (TGL) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $8.92, 252.4% above the current price of $2.53. Estimates range from $2.77 to $15.07. TGL scores 4.8/10 on fundamental quality and 67/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. TGL’s +252.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Software - Application sector median is -25.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Treasure Global Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TGL?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.53)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $15.07 +495.5%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $2.77 +9.3%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Treasure Global Inc. (TGL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Treasure Global Inc.. Trading at $2.53 against an estimated intrinsic value of $8.92, 2 of 2 active models flag meaningful upside of +252.4% at the median. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $15.07 (+495.5%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $2.77 (+9.3%). This +486.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Treasure Global Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About TGL?

2 of 13 models are currently active for TGL. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for TGL is $8.92 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TGL Rank in Software - Application?

Among 263 Software - Application stocks, TGL ranks #205 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Application Stocks →

As a technology sector, Treasure Global Inc. operates in a sector where free cash flow margin is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating TGL should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is TGL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TGL a score of 67/100 (DANGER). This is a high-risk signal. Deteriorating fundamentals suggest the discount may be justified. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Treasure Global Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Treasure Global Inc. is rated at 4.8/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. Notably, value trap risk is elevated.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +486.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TGL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TGL's 2 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Treasure Global Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Application Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Application stocks with 13-model coverage

TONXTON Strategy CoQOC 4.8CNTMConnectM Technology Solutions, Inc.QOC 4.8MFONMobivity Holdings Corp.QOC 4.8GBUXGivBux, Inc.QOC 4.8UPYYUPAY, Inc.QOC 4.9SRCOSparta Commercial Services, Inc.QOC 4.8IDCCInterDigital, Inc.QOC 9.5MTLSMaterialise NVQOC 8.0NXTTNext Technology Holding Inc.QOC 6.6ADSKAutodesk, Inc.QOC 9.9PTCPTC Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: TONX · CNTM · MFON · GBUX · UPYY · SRCO · IDCC · MTLS · NXTT · ADSK · PTC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TGL?

6 companies across all industries closest to TGL’s Quality of Company score of 4.8/10.

BEEPMobile Infrastructure CorporationQOC 4.8FEEDENvue Medical, Inc.QOC 4.8FMHSFarmhouse, Inc.QOC 4.8SNGXSoligenix, Inc.QOC 4.8FOTBFirst Ottawa Bancshares, Inc.QOC 4.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: BEEP · FEED · FMHS · SNGX · FOTB · NVDA

Where Does TGL Sit in CirclFi's Software - Application Rankings?

TGL is ranked against every other Software - Application stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Application stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Treasure Global Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Treasure Global Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Treasure Global Inc. (TGL)'s intrinsic value at $8.92 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $2.77 to $15.07. The Quality of Company score is 4.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TGL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.53, 2 of 2 active models suggest TGL may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $8.92, 252.4% above the current price of $2.53 — a consensus view that TGL is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Treasure Global Inc.'s business model in Software - Application.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.8 mean for TGL?

Treasure Global Inc.'s QOC of 4.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TGL?

CirclFi analyzes TGL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TGL a value trap in 2026?

Treasure Global Inc.'s Value Trap score is 67/100 (DANGER). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Treasure Global Inc. (TGL) has a median fair value of $8.92 — 252.4% above the current price of $2.53 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TGL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TGL valuation
  • Financial statements: Treasure Global Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001905956) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TGL as of ; valuations recomputed .