Lyft, Inc. (LYFT) Fair Value 2026

LYFT · Services-Business Services, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Lyft, Inc. (LYFT) trades at $15.67, approximately 31% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $22.66. QOC: 8.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
LYFT
Price
$15.67
Quality Score
8.9/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +306.5% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($15.67)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$22.66 +44.6%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$3.44 -78.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$15.60 -0.5%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$63.70 +306.5%

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What Is Lyft, Inc. (LYFT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Lyft, Inc. at its current price of $15.67. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $15.79 (+0.8% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +306.5% (fair value: $63.70), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -93.4% ($1.03). The spread between these extremes — +399.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About LYFT?

12 of 13 models are currently active for LYFT. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates LYFT's intrinsic value at $22.66, implying +44.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LYFT Rank in Services-Business Services, NEC?

Among 94 Services-Business Services, NEC stocks, LYFT ranks #21 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.9 places LYFT in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Services-Business Services, NEC Stocks →

Lyft, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is LYFT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LYFT a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Lyft, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Lyft, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.9/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +399.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LYFT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LYFT's 12 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Lyft, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Business Services, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Business Services, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CART · EXLS · FICO · PDD · TCOM

See all Services-Business Services, NEC stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Lyft, Inc.

What is Lyft, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Lyft, Inc. (LYFT) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $22.66. The Quality of Company score is 8.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LYFT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $15.67, 3 of 12 active models suggest LYFT may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Lyft, Inc.'s business model in Services-Business Services, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.9 mean for LYFT?

Lyft, Inc.'s QOC of 8.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LYFT?

CirclFi analyzes LYFT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is LYFT a value trap in 2026?

Lyft, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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