Maplebear Inc. (CART) Fair Value 2026

CART · Services-Business Services, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

10.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Maplebear Inc. (CART) trades at $48.28, approximately 15% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $56.63. QOC: 10.0/10. 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CART
Price
$48.28
Quality Score
10.0/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +136.9% upside with 46% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($48.28)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$56.63 +17.3%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$10.54 -78.2%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$43.80 -9.3%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$114.36 +136.9%

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What Is Maplebear Inc. (CART) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Maplebear Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $40.72. Trading at its current price of $48.28, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -15.7%. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +136.9% (fair value: $114.36), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -85.5% ($7.01). The spread between these extremes — +222.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About CART?

12 of 13 models are currently active for CART. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CART's intrinsic value at $56.63, implying +17.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CART Rank in Services-Business Services, NEC?

Among 94 Services-Business Services, NEC stocks, CART ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places CART in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Services-Business Services, NEC Stocks →

Maplebear Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CART a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for CART. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Maplebear Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Maplebear Inc. earns a quality score of 10.0/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +222.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CART valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CART's 12 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Maplebear Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Business Services, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Business Services, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: EXLS · FICO · PDD · TCOM · LQDT

See all Services-Business Services, NEC stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Maplebear Inc.

What is Maplebear Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Maplebear Inc. (CART) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $56.63. The Quality of Company score is 10.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CART overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $48.28, 2 of 12 active models suggest CART may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Maplebear Inc.'s business model in Services-Business Services, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 10.0 mean for CART?

Maplebear Inc.'s QOC of 10.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CART?

CirclFi analyzes CART with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CART a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for CART at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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