Maplebear Inc. (CART) Fair Value 2026

CART · Internet Retail ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (8/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Maplebear Inc. (CART) trades at $50.48, versus a $65.32 median fair value across its 10 active models — 29.4% above the current price. QOC: 8.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 8/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $117.27.

Key Facts

Ticker
CART
Price
$50.48
Quality Score
8.5/10
Value Trap Risk
8/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +132.3% upside with 66% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is Maplebear Inc. (CART) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Maplebear Inc. (CART) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $65.32, 29.4% above the current price of $50.48. Estimates range from $9.61 to $117.27. CART scores 8.5/10 on fundamental quality and 8/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CART’s +29.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Internet Retail sector median is -25.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Maplebear Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CART?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($50.48)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $117.27 +132.3%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $69.42 +37.5%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $81.05 +60.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $9.61 -81.0%
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What Is CART's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $9.61 to $117.27

CirclFi's 10 active models place Maplebear Inc. (CART) between $9.61 and $117.27 per share, a spread of 165% of the median. The median of that range — $65.32 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CART, against a current price of $50.48.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · Bayesian DCF
$9.61median $65.32$117.27
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$9.61
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$117.27
Model agreement7 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CART. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CART, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Maplebear Inc. (CART) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Maplebear Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $65.32. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $50.48 (implied upside of +29.4%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 7 of 10 bullish models. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +132.3% (fair value: $117.27), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -81.0% ($9.61). The spread between these extremes — +213.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About CART?

10 of 13 models are currently active for CART. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CART is $65.32 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $117.27 on its own, implying +132.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CART Rank in Internet Retail?

Among 42 Internet Retail stocks, CART ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.5 places CART in the top tier.

Maplebear Inc.'s positioning within the Internet Retail segment means that free cash flow margin plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including total addressable market (TAM) expansion — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is CART a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CART a score of 8/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Maplebear Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Maplebear Inc. earns a quality score of 8.5/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +213.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CART valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CART's 10 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Maplebear Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Internet Retail Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Internet Retail stocks with 13-model coverage

MELIMercadoLibre, Inc.QOC 8.6HOURHour Loop, Inc.QOC 8.4EBAYeBay Inc.QOC 8.6VIPSVipshop Holdings LimitedQOC 8.2GLBEGlobal-E Online Ltd.QOC 8.7ETSYEtsy, Inc.QOC 7.9HEPSD-Market Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret A.S.QOC 6.7ZHJDIntelligent Hotel Group LtdQOC 5.8WBUYWEBUY GLOBAL LTD.QOC 1.9PDDPDD Holdings Inc.QOC 9.2CHWYChewy, Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: MELI · HOUR · EBAY · VIPS · GLBE · ETSY · HEPS · ZHJD · WBUY · PDD · CHWY

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CART?

7 companies across all industries closest to CART’s Quality of Company score of 8.5/10.

INSWInternational Seaways, Inc.QOC 8.5SMPLThe Simply Good Foods CompanyQOC 8.5ONONOn Holding AGQOC 8.5RAVERave Restaurant Group, Inc.QOC 8.5DMCDel Monte CorporationQOC 8.5RTXRTX CorporationQOC 8.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: INSW · SMPL · ONON · RAVE · DMC · RTX · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Maplebear Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Maplebear Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Maplebear Inc. (CART)'s intrinsic value at $65.32 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $9.61 to $117.27. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $117.27 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CART overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $50.48, 8 of 10 active models suggest CART may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $65.32, 29.4% above the current price of $50.48 — a consensus view that CART is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Maplebear Inc.'s business model in Internet Retail.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.5 mean for CART?

Maplebear Inc.'s QOC of 8.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CART?

CirclFi analyzes CART with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CART?

Of the 10 models currently active on CART, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $117.27 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $9.61. CirclFi's published fair value for CART is the median of that range, $65.32, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 165% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CART a value trap in 2026?

Maplebear Inc.'s Value Trap score is 8/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Maplebear Inc. (CART) has a median fair value of $65.32 — 29.4% above the current price of $50.48 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CART/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CART valuation
  • Financial statements: Maplebear Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001579091) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CART as of ; valuations recomputed .

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