Yalla Group Limited (YALA) Fair Value 2026

YALA · Software - Application ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (40/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Yalla Group Limited (YALA) trades at $5.56. QOC: 2.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 40/100 (WARN). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
YALA
Price
$5.56
Quality Score
2.9/10
Value Trap Risk
40/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +416.9% upside with 25% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 40 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give YALA?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.56)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $28.74 +416.9%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Yalla Group Limited (YALA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Yalla Group Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $28.74. At a current market price of $5.56, 1 of 1 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +416.9%.

What Do the Models Say About YALA?

1 of 13 models are currently active for YALA. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does YALA Rank in Software - Application?

Among 256 Software - Application stocks, YALA ranks #246 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.9 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Application Stocks →

Within the Software - Application space, Yalla Group Limited competes in an environment where gross margin profile often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is YALA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns YALA a score of 40/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Yalla Group Limited. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Yalla Group Limited is rated at 2.9/10. This weak-tier score exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every YALA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across YALA's 1 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Yalla Group Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Application Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Application stocks with 13-model coverage

ILXPInternational Luxury Products IncQOC 2.9RMSGReal Messenger CorporationQOC 2.8YAASYouxin Technology LtdQOC 2.9KNRXKnorex Ltd.QOC 2.8AIXIXiao-I CorporationQOC 2.9BMRBeamr Imaging Ltd.QOC 2.8MITKMitek Systems, Inc.QOC 8.3EXFYExpensify, Inc.QOC 6.9FTFTFuture FinTech Group Inc.QOC 5.2ADSKAutodesk, Inc.QOC 9.8PTCPTC Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: ILXP · RMSG · YAAS · KNRX · AIXI · BMR · MITK · EXFY · FTFT · ADSK · PTC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to YALA?

6 companies across all industries closest to YALA’s Quality of Company score of 2.9/10.

TTETotalEnergies SEQOC 2.9WOKWORK Medical Technology Group LTDQOC 2.8RDWRRadware Ltd.QOC 2.9FOFOHang Feng Technology Innovation Co., Ltd.QOC 2.9WPMWheaton Precious Metals Corp.QOC 2.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: TTE · WOK · RDWR · FOFO · WPM · NVDA

Where Does YALA Sit in CirclFi's Software - Application Rankings?

YALA is ranked against every other Software - Application stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Application stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Yalla Group Limited’s Valuation?

What is Yalla Group Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Yalla Group Limited (YALA). The Quality of Company score is 2.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is YALA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.56, 1 of 1 active models suggest YALA may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Yalla Group Limited's business model in Software - Application.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.9 mean for YALA?

Yalla Group Limited's QOC of 2.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on YALA?

CirclFi analyzes YALA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is YALA a value trap in 2026?

Yalla Group Limited's Value Trap score is 40/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Yalla Group Limited (YALA) a Quality of Company score of 2.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/YALA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this YALA valuation
  • Financial statements: Yalla Group Limited 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001794350) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for YALA as of ; valuations recomputed .