Utah Medical Products, Inc. (UTMD) Fair Value 2026

UTMD · Medical Instruments & Supplies ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Utah Medical Products, Inc. (UTMD) trades at $71.80, versus a $70.81 median fair value across its 11 active models — 1.4% below the current price. QOC: 8.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $88.47.

Key Facts

Ticker
UTMD
Price
$71.80
Quality Score
8.2/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +23.2% upside with 70% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Utah Medical Products, Inc. (UTMD) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Utah Medical Products, Inc. (UTMD) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $70.81, within 1.4% of the current price of $71.80. Estimates range from $30.63 to $110.30. UTMD scores 8.2/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. UTMD’s -1.4% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Medical Instruments & Supplies sector median is -36.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Utah Medical Products, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give UTMD?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($71.80)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $88.47 +23.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $68.31 -4.9%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $70.81 -1.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $48.73 -32.1%
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What Is UTMD's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $30.63 to $110.30

CirclFi's 11 active models place Utah Medical Products, Inc. (UTMD) between $30.63 and $110.30 per share, a spread of 113% of the median. The median of that range — $70.81 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for UTMD, against a current price of $71.80.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · RCMH-DCF
$30.63median $70.81$110.30
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$30.63
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$110.30
Model agreement5 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for UTMD. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on UTMD, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Utah Medical Products, Inc. (UTMD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Utah Medical Products, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $71.80. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $70.81 (-1.4% median upside), masking a wide model spread between the 5 bullish models and 4 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $110.30 (+53.6%), versus ML-RIV at $30.63 (-57.3%). This +111.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About UTMD?

11 of 13 models are currently active for UTMD. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for UTMD is $70.81 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $88.47 on its own, implying +23.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does UTMD Rank in Medical Instruments & Supplies?

Among 55 Medical Instruments & Supplies stocks, UTMD ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places UTMD in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Medical Instruments & Supplies Stocks →

Utah Medical Products, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is UTMD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns UTMD a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Utah Medical Products, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Utah Medical Products, Inc. scores 8.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +111.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every UTMD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across UTMD's 11 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Utah Medical Products, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Medical Instruments & Supplies Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Medical Instruments & Supplies stocks with 13-model coverage

NVSTEnvista Holdings CorporationQOC 8.3RGENRepligen CorporationQOC 8.0BDXBecton, Dickinson and CompanyQOC 8.3EMBCEmbecta Corp.QOC 7.8ALGNAlign Technology, Inc.QOC 8.4PDEXPro-Dex, Inc.QOC 7.8BLFSBioLife Solutions, Inc.QOC 6.9KMTSKestra Medical Technologies, Ltd.QOC 5.8ZJYLJin Medical International Ltd.QOC 2.9ISRGIntuitive Surgical, Inc.QOC 9.4RMDResMed Inc.QOC 9.4

Read investment analysis: NVST · RGEN · BDX · EMBC · ALGN · PDEX · BLFS · KMTS · ZJYL · ISRG · RMD

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to UTMD?

7 companies across all industries closest to UTMD’s Quality of Company score of 8.2/10.

CUBICustomers Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.2SBFGSB Financial Group, Inc.QOC 8.2ERIIEnergy Recovery, Inc.QOC 8.2RBARB Global, Inc.QOC 8.2GGALGrupo Financiero Galicia S.A.QOC 8.2WLFCWillis Lease Finance CorporationQOC 8.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CUBI · SBFG · ERII · RBA · GGAL · WLFC · NVDA

Where Does UTMD Sit in CirclFi's Medical Instruments & Supplies Rankings?

UTMD is ranked against every other Medical Instruments & Supplies stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Medical Instruments & Supplies stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Utah Medical Products, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Utah Medical Products, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Utah Medical Products, Inc. (UTMD)'s intrinsic value at $70.81 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $30.63 to $110.30. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $88.47 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is UTMD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $71.80, 5 of 11 active models suggest UTMD may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $70.81, within 1.4% of the current price of $71.80 — a consensus view that UTMD is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Utah Medical Products, Inc.'s business model in Medical Instruments & Supplies.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.2 mean for UTMD?

Utah Medical Products, Inc.'s QOC of 8.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on UTMD?

CirclFi analyzes UTMD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on UTMD?

Of the 11 models currently active on UTMD, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $110.30 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $30.63. CirclFi's published fair value for UTMD is the median of that range, $70.81, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 113% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is UTMD a value trap in 2026?

Utah Medical Products, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Utah Medical Products, Inc. (UTMD) has a median fair value of $70.81 — within 1.4% of the current price of $71.80 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/UTMD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this UTMD valuation
  • Financial statements: Utah Medical Products, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000706698) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for UTMD as of ; valuations recomputed .

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