What Is Alcon Inc. (ALC) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Alcon Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $52.48, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $68.99. With an average implied return of -23.9% across a split 3–7 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +130.0% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at +41.6% (fair value: $97.70), while Markov DDM is the most conservative at -88.4% ($8.00). The spread between these extremes — +130.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About ALC?
13 of 13 models are currently active for ALC. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ALC's intrinsic value at $28.25, implying -59.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ALC Rank in Medical Instruments & Supplies?
Among 3 Medical Instruments & Supplies stocks, ALC ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.0 signals below-average fundamentals.
Alcon Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is ALC a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for ALC. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Alcon Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Alcon Inc. earns a quality score of 2.0/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +130.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ALC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ALC's 13 active models, average confidence is 8%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad