Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG) Fair Value 2026

ISRG · Medical Instruments & Supplies ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG) trades at $367.07, versus a $93.49 median fair value across its 10 active models — 74.5% below the current price. QOC: 9.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $80.71.

Key Facts

Ticker
ISRG
Price
$367.07
Quality Score
9.4/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.4/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $93.49, 74.5% below the current price of $367.07. Estimates range from $59.71 to $338.33. ISRG scores 9.4/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ISRG’s -74.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Medical Instruments & Supplies sector median is -36.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Intuitive Surgical, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ISRG?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($367.07)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $80.71 -78.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $63.88 -82.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $106.27 -71.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $221.60 -39.6%
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What Is ISRG's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $59.71 to $338.33

CirclFi's 10 active models place Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG) between $59.71 and $338.33 per share, a spread of 298% of the median. The median of that range — $93.49 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ISRG, against a current price of $367.07.

Low · RCMH-DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$59.71median $93.49$338.33
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRCMH-DCF$59.71
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$338.33
Model agreement0 bullish · 10 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ISRG. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ISRG, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Intuitive Surgical, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $93.49, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $367.07. With 10 out of 10 models flagging downside (-74.5% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $338.33 (-7.8%), while RCMH-DCF — the most conservative — estimates $59.71 (-83.7%). This +75.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Intuitive Surgical, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ISRG?

10 of 13 models are currently active for ISRG. All 10 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for ISRG is $93.49 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $80.71 on its own, implying -78.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ISRG Rank in Medical Instruments & Supplies?

Among 55 Medical Instruments & Supplies stocks, ISRG ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.4 places ISRG in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Medical Instruments & Supplies Stocks →

Intuitive Surgical, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is ISRG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ISRG a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Intuitive Surgical, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Intuitive Surgical, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.4/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +75.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ISRG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ISRG's 10 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Intuitive Surgical, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Medical Instruments & Supplies Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Medical Instruments & Supplies stocks with 13-model coverage

NNNNAnbio BiotechnologyQOC 2.4RMDResMed Inc.QOC 9.4ALCAlcon Inc.QOC 2.7LMATLeMaitre Vascular, Inc.QOC 9.3ZJYLJin Medical International Ltd.QOC 2.9ATRAptarGroup, Inc.QOC 8.9EMBCEmbecta Corp.QOC 7.8AVTRAvantor, Inc.QOC 6.5CUPRCuprina Holdings (Cayman) LimitedQOC 5.6

Read investment analysis: NNNN · RMD · ALC · LMAT · ZJYL · ATR · EMBC · AVTR · CUPR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ISRG?

7 companies across all industries closest to ISRG’s Quality of Company score of 9.4/10.

CFCF Industries Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.4NYTThe New York Times CompanyQOC 9.4ACFNAcorn Energy, Inc.QOC 9.4BLBDBlue Bird CorporationQOC 9.4RMBSRambus Inc.QOC 9.4BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CF · NYT · ACFN · BLBD · RMBS · BUKS · NVDA

Where Does ISRG Sit in CirclFi's Medical Instruments & Supplies Rankings?

ISRG is ranked against every other Medical Instruments & Supplies stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Medical Instruments & Supplies stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Intuitive Surgical, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Intuitive Surgical, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG)'s intrinsic value at $93.49 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $59.71 to $338.33. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $80.71 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ISRG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $367.07, 0 of 10 active models suggest ISRG may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $93.49, 74.5% below the current price of $367.07 — a consensus view that ISRG is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Intuitive Surgical, Inc.'s business model in Medical Instruments & Supplies.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.4 mean for ISRG?

Intuitive Surgical, Inc.'s QOC of 9.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ISRG?

CirclFi analyzes ISRG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ISRG?

Of the 10 models currently active on ISRG, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $338.33 per share, and RCMH-DCF is the most bearish at $59.71. CirclFi's published fair value for ISRG is the median of that range, $93.49, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 298% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ISRG a value trap in 2026?

Intuitive Surgical, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG) has a median fair value of $93.49 — 74.5% below the current price of $367.07 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ISRG/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ISRG valuation
  • Financial statements: Intuitive Surgical, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001035267) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ISRG as of ; valuations recomputed .

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