Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. (SRPT) Fair Value 2026

SRPT · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. (SRPT) trades at $17.96, approximately 1934% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.88. QOC: 7.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SRPT
Price
$17.96
Quality Score
7.8/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +450.1% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($17.96)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.88 -95.1%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$42.04 +134.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$32.00 +78.2%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$98.80 +450.1%

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What Is Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. (SRPT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $30.65, suggesting a +70.7% average upside from the current price of $17.96. While 8 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 5 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $98.80 (+450.1%), versus Bayesian DCF at $0.88 (-95.1%). This +545.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About SRPT?

13 of 13 models are currently active for SRPT. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SRPT's intrinsic value at $0.88, implying -95.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SRPT Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 469 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, SRPT ranks #42 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

As a biopharma enterprise, Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. operates in a sector where revenue per drug is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SRPT should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is SRPT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SRPT a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.8/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +545.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SRPT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SRPT's 13 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AMPH · AZN · CPRX · HRMY · NVO

See all Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.

What is Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. (SRPT) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.88. The Quality of Company score is 7.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SRPT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $17.96, 8 of 13 active models suggest SRPT may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.'s business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.8 mean for SRPT?

Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.'s QOC of 7.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SRPT?

CirclFi analyzes SRPT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SRPT a value trap in 2026?

Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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