What Is UroGen Pharma Ltd. (URGN) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, UroGen Pharma Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $9.92. Trading at its current price of $39.19, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 11 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -74.7%. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at -10.2% (fair value: $35.20), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -97.0% ($1.19). The spread between these extremes — +86.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About URGN?
11 of 13 models are currently active for URGN. All 11 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates URGN's intrinsic value at $8.81, implying -77.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does URGN Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?
Among 469 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, URGN ranks #58 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.
See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →
UroGen Pharma Ltd.'s positioning within the Pharmaceutical Preparations segment means that revenue per drug plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including therapeutic area leadership — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is URGN a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns URGN a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
11 of 13 models are active for UroGen Pharma Ltd.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, UroGen Pharma Ltd. earns a quality score of 7.1/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +86.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every URGN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across URGN's 11 active models, average confidence is 17%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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