Mobility Global, Inc. (MBGL) Fair Value 2026

MBGL · Software - Infrastructure ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Mobility Global, Inc. (MBGL) trades at $20.27, versus a $4.11 median fair value across its 3 active models — 79.7% below the current price. QOC: 5.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MBGL
Price
$20.27
Quality Score
5.2/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +28.1% upside with 12% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Mobility Global, Inc. (MBGL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Mobility Global, Inc. (MBGL) appears overvalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $4.11, 79.7% below the current price of $20.27. Estimates range from $2.51 to $25.97. MBGL scores 5.2/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. MBGL’s -79.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Software - Infrastructure sector median is -22.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Mobility Global, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give MBGL?

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($20.27)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
 $2.51 -87.6%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $25.97 +28.1%
Option-Based · Low Conviction
 $4.11 -79.7%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is MBGL's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 3 independent models · $2.51 to $25.97

CirclFi's 3 active models place Mobility Global, Inc. (MBGL) between $2.51 and $25.97 per share, a spread of 571% of the median. The median of that range — $4.11 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for MBGL, against a current price of $20.27.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Regime Cross
$2.51median $4.11$25.97
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$2.51
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$25.97
Model agreement1 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for MBGL. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on MBGL, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Mobility Global, Inc. (MBGL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Mobility Global, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $4.11. Trading at $20.27, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -79.7%), as 2 of 3 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $25.97 (+28.1%), versus Markov DDM at $2.51 (-87.6%). This +115.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About MBGL?

3 of 13 models are currently active for MBGL. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for MBGL is $4.11 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MBGL Rank in Software - Infrastructure?

Among 186 Software - Infrastructure stocks, MBGL ranks #136 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.2 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Infrastructure Stocks →

The Software - Infrastructure sector introduces analytical considerations specific to digital enterprise businesses. For Mobility Global, Inc., metrics like free cash flow margin provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is MBGL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MBGL a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Mobility Global, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Mobility Global, Inc. scores 5.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +115.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MBGL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MBGL's 3 active models, average confidence is 12%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Mobility Global, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Infrastructure Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Infrastructure stocks with 13-model coverage

BNAIBrand Engagement Network, Inc.QOC 5.2TGHLThe Growhub LimitedQOC 5.1GRHIGold Rock Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.2AZIOAzio AI Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.1CISOCISO Global Inc.QOC 5.2BIRDSmartbird, IncQOC 5.1XNETXunlei LimitedQOC 2.5KSPIJoint Stock Company Kaspi.kzQOC 8.1PSFEPaysafe LimitedQOC 6.0FTNTFortinet, Inc.QOC 9.7QLYSQualys, Inc.QOC 9.7

Read investment analysis: BNAI · TGHL · GRHI · AZIO · CISO · BIRD · XNET · KSPI · PSFE · FTNT · QLYS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to MBGL?

7 companies across all industries closest to MBGL’s Quality of Company score of 5.2/10.

ECTMECA Marcellus Trust IQOC 5.2CIRXCirTran CorporationQOC 5.2SNDASonida Senior Living, Inc.QOC 5.2SNTLSentinel Holdings Ltd.QOC 5.2RMCFRocky Mountain Chocolate Factory, Inc.QOC 5.2APHPAmerican Picture House CorporationQOC 5.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ECTM · CIRX · SNDA · SNTL · RMCF · APHP · NVDA

Where Does MBGL Sit in CirclFi's Software - Infrastructure Rankings?

MBGL is ranked against every other Software - Infrastructure stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Infrastructure stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Mobility Global, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Mobility Global, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Mobility Global, Inc. (MBGL)'s intrinsic value at $4.11 — the median of 3 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $2.51 to $25.97. The Quality of Company score is 5.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MBGL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $20.27, 1 of 3 active models suggest MBGL may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $4.11, 79.7% below the current price of $20.27 — a consensus view that MBGL is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Mobility Global, Inc.'s business model in Software - Infrastructure.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.2 mean for MBGL?

Mobility Global, Inc.'s QOC of 5.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MBGL?

CirclFi analyzes MBGL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on MBGL?

Of the 3 models currently active on MBGL, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $25.97 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $2.51. CirclFi's published fair value for MBGL is the median of that range, $4.11, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 571% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is MBGL a value trap in 2026?

Mobility Global, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Mobility Global, Inc. (MBGL) has a median fair value of $4.11 — 79.7% below the current price of $20.27 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MBGL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this MBGL valuation
  • Financial statements: Mobility Global, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002090312) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for MBGL as of ; valuations recomputed .