HawkEye 360, Inc. (HAWK) Fair Value 2026

HAWK · Aerospace & Defense ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, HawkEye 360, Inc. (HAWK) trades at $20.47. QOC: 4.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HAWK
Price
$20.47
Quality Score
4.0/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: 1 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.0/10 signals weak fundamentals

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give HAWK?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($20.47)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Low Conviction
 $7.17 -65.0%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is HawkEye 360, Inc. (HAWK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, HawkEye 360, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $7.17, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $20.47. With 1 out of 1 models flagging downside (-65.0% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth.

What Do the Models Say About HAWK?

1 of 13 models are currently active for HAWK. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HAWK Rank in Aerospace & Defense?

Among 92 Aerospace & Defense stocks, HAWK ranks #80 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.0 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Aerospace & Defense Stocks →

Within the Aerospace & Defense space, HawkEye 360, Inc. competes in an environment where backlog-to-revenue ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is HAWK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HAWK a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for HawkEye 360, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, HawkEye 360, Inc. is rated at 4.0/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HAWK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HAWK's 1 active models, average confidence is 12%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy HawkEye 360, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Aerospace & Defense Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Aerospace & Defense stocks with 13-model coverage

BLISNAPC Defense IncQOC 4.0SPCXSpace Exploration Technologies Corp.QOC 4.0PHGEBiomX Inc.QOC 4.0AVEXAEVEX Corp.QOC 3.8CTGLCitrine Global CorpQOC 4.1BRQLDynamic Aerospace SystemsQOC 3.8NOCNorthrop Grumman CorporationQOC 8.6NPKNational Presto Industries, Inc.QOC 7.4AIRIAir Industries GroupQOC 5.8BUKSButler National CorporationQOC 9.4HWMHowmet Aerospace Inc.QOC 9.3

Read investment analysis: BLIS · SPCX · PHGE · AVEX · CTGL · BRQL · NOC · NPK · AIRI · BUKS · HWM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to HAWK?

6 companies across all industries closest to HAWK’s Quality of Company score of 4.0/10.

NDRAENDRA Life Sciences Inc.QOC 4.0ETCGGrayscale Ethereum Classic Trust (ETC)QOC 4.0DRMADermata Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 4.0NERVMinerva Neurosciences, Inc.QOC 4.0SBEVSplash Beverage Group, Inc.QOC 4.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NDRA · ETCG · DRMA · NERV · SBEV · NVDA

Where Does HAWK Sit in CirclFi's Aerospace & Defense Rankings?

HAWK is ranked against every other Aerospace & Defense stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Aerospace & Defense stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About HawkEye 360, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is HawkEye 360, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for HawkEye 360, Inc. (HAWK). The Quality of Company score is 4.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HAWK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $20.47, 0 of 1 active models suggest HAWK may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits HawkEye 360, Inc.'s business model in Aerospace & Defense.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.0 mean for HAWK?

HawkEye 360, Inc.'s QOC of 4.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HAWK?

CirclFi analyzes HAWK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is HAWK a value trap in 2026?

HawkEye 360, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns HawkEye 360, Inc. (HAWK) a Quality of Company score of 4.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HAWK/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this HAWK valuation
  • Financial statements: HawkEye 360, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001750704) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for HAWK as of ; valuations recomputed .