Envela Corporation (ELA) Fair Value 2026

ELA · Luxury Goods ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (7/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Envela Corporation (ELA) trades at $13.79, versus a $7.01 median fair value across its 10 active models — 49.2% below the current price. QOC: 8.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 7/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $2.03.

Key Facts

Ticker
ELA
Price
$13.79
Quality Score
8.2/10
Value Trap Risk
7/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.2/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Envela Corporation (ELA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Envela Corporation (ELA) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $7.01, 49.2% below the current price of $13.79. Estimates range from $2.03 to $19.98. ELA scores 8.2/10 on fundamental quality and 7/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. ELA’s -49.2% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Envela Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ELA?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($13.79)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.03 -85.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $6.40 -53.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $7.20 -47.8%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $11.81 -14.4%
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What Is ELA's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $2.03 to $19.98

CirclFi's 10 active models place Envela Corporation (ELA) between $2.03 and $19.98 per share, a spread of 256% of the median. The median of that range — $7.01 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ELA, against a current price of $13.79.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · ML-RIV
$2.03median $7.01$19.98
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$2.03
Most bullish modelML Residual Income$19.98
Model agreement1 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ELA. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ELA, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Envela Corporation (ELA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Envela Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $7.01. Trading at its current price of $13.79, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 10 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -49.2%. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $19.98 (+44.9%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $2.03 (-85.3%). This +130.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Envela Corporation's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About ELA?

10 of 13 models are currently active for ELA. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ELA is $7.01 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $2.03 on its own, implying -85.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ELA Rank in Luxury Goods?

Among 10 Luxury Goods stocks, ELA ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places ELA in the top tier.

Envela Corporation's positioning within the Luxury Goods segment means that inventory turnover plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including omnichannel integration — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is ELA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ELA a score of 7/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Envela Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Envela Corporation scores 8.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +130.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ELA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ELA's 10 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Envela Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Luxury Goods Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Luxury Goods stocks with 13-model coverage

TPRTapestry, Inc.QOC 9.0SIGSignet Jewelers LimitedQOC 8.6LUXELuxExperience B.V.QOC 8.0CPRICapri Holdings LimitedQOC 7.3BRLTBrilliant Earth Group, Inc.QOC 7.1REALThe RealReal, Inc.QOC 6.2BGIBirks Group Inc.QOC 5.7LANVLanvin Group Holdings LimitedQOC 4.7SORAAsiaStrategyQOC 3.2

Read investment analysis: TPR · SIG · LUXE · CPRI · BRLT · REAL · BGI · LANV · SORA

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ELA?

7 companies across all industries closest to ELA’s Quality of Company score of 8.2/10.

OXYOccidental Petroleum CorporationQOC 8.2SUPVGrupo Supervielle S.A.QOC 8.2ATEXAnterix Inc.QOC 8.2JBHTJ.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc.QOC 8.2AHRAmerican Healthcare REIT, Inc.QOC 8.2LYVLive Nation Entertainment, Inc.QOC 8.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: OXY · SUPV · ATEX · JBHT · AHR · LYV · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Envela Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Envela Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Envela Corporation (ELA)'s intrinsic value at $7.01 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $2.03 to $19.98. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $2.03 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ELA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $13.79, 1 of 10 active models suggest ELA may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $7.01, 49.2% below the current price of $13.79 — a consensus view that ELA is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Envela Corporation's business model in Luxury Goods.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.2 mean for ELA?

Envela Corporation's QOC of 8.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ELA?

CirclFi analyzes ELA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ELA?

Of the 10 models currently active on ELA, ML Residual Income is the most bullish at $19.98 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $2.03. CirclFi's published fair value for ELA is the median of that range, $7.01, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 256% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ELA a value trap in 2026?

Envela Corporation's Value Trap score is 7/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Envela Corporation (ELA) has a median fair value of $7.01 — 49.2% below the current price of $13.79 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ELA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ELA valuation
  • Financial statements: Envela Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000701719) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ELA as of ; valuations recomputed .

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