Birks Group Inc. (BGI) Fair Value 2026

BGI · Luxury Goods ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Birks Group Inc. (BGI) trades at $0.35. QOC: 5.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BGI
Price
$0.35
Quality Score
5.7/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Dynamic NAV suggests +407.8% upside with 55% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (1/13) may reduce confidence

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give BGI?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.35)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $1.78 +407.8%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Birks Group Inc. (BGI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Birks Group Inc.. Trading at $0.35 against an estimated intrinsic value of $1.78, 1 of 1 active models flag meaningful upside of +407.8% at the median.

What Do the Models Say About BGI?

1 of 13 models are currently active for BGI. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BGI Rank in Luxury Goods?

Among 10 Luxury Goods stocks, BGI ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.

The Luxury Goods sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer businesses. For Birks Group Inc., metrics like gross margin expansion provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is BGI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BGI a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Birks Group Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Birks Group Inc. earns a quality score of 5.7/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BGI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BGI's 1 active models, average confidence is 55%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Birks Group Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Luxury Goods Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Luxury Goods stocks with 13-model coverage

TPRTapestry, Inc.QOC 9.0SIGSignet Jewelers LimitedQOC 8.6ELAEnvela CorporationQOC 8.2LUXELuxExperience B.V.QOC 8.0CPRICapri Holdings LimitedQOC 7.3BRLTBrilliant Earth Group, Inc.QOC 7.1REALThe RealReal, Inc.QOC 6.2LANVLanvin Group Holdings LimitedQOC 4.7SORAAsiaStrategyQOC 3.2

Read investment analysis: TPR · SIG · ELA · LUXE · CPRI · BRLT · REAL · LANV · SORA

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to BGI?

7 companies across all industries closest to BGI’s Quality of Company score of 5.7/10.

MFICMidCap Financial Investment CorporationQOC 5.7SVCService Properties TrustQOC 5.7BYNDBeyond Meat, Inc.QOC 5.7SAIHSAIHEAT LimitedQOC 5.7CNVSCineverse Corp.QOC 5.7BKSYBlackSky Technology Inc.QOC 5.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MFIC · SVC · BYND · SAIH · CNVS · BKSY · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Birks Group Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Birks Group Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Birks Group Inc. (BGI). The Quality of Company score is 5.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BGI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.35, 1 of 1 active models suggest BGI may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Birks Group Inc.'s business model in Luxury Goods.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.7 mean for BGI?

Birks Group Inc.'s QOC of 5.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BGI?

CirclFi analyzes BGI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BGI a value trap in 2026?

Birks Group Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Birks Group Inc. (BGI) a Quality of Company score of 5.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/BGI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this BGI valuation
  • Financial statements: Birks Group Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001179821) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for BGI as of ; valuations recomputed .