Capri Holdings Limited (CPRI) Fair Value 2026

CPRI · Leather & Leather Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (30/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Capri Holdings Limited (CPRI) trades at $17.46, approximately 112% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $8.25. QOC: 7.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 30/100 (LOW). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CPRI
Price
$17.46
Quality Score
7.2/10
Value Trap Risk
30/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +14.5% upside with 61% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($17.46)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$8.25 -52.7%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$9.67 -44.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$12.01 -31.2%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$20.00 +14.5%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 8 additional models including EROIC Spread, Markov DDM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 12 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is Capri Holdings Limited (CPRI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Capri Holdings Limited presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $17.46. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $18.10 (+3.7% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 6 bullish models and 6 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $58.73 (+236.4%), versus ML-RIV at $3.65 (-79.1%). This +315.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV, RCMH-DCF lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CPRI?

12 of 13 models are currently active for CPRI. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CPRI's intrinsic value at $8.25, implying -52.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CPRI Rank in Leather & Leather Products?

Among 5 Leather & Leather Products stocks, CPRI ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.

Capri Holdings Limited operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CPRI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CPRI a score of 30/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Capri Holdings Limited. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Capri Holdings Limited earns a quality score of 7.2/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +315.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CPRI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CPRI's 12 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Capri Holdings Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Leather & Leather Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

4 related Leather & Leather Products stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: TPR · TLF · VRA · FMFC

Frequently Asked Questions About Capri Holdings Limited

What is Capri Holdings Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Capri Holdings Limited (CPRI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $8.25. The Quality of Company score is 7.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CPRI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $17.46, 6 of 12 active models suggest CPRI may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Capri Holdings Limited's business model in Leather & Leather Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.2 mean for CPRI?

Capri Holdings Limited's QOC of 7.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CPRI?

CirclFi analyzes CPRI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CPRI a value trap in 2026?

Capri Holdings Limited's Value Trap score is 30/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 12 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on CPRI.

Unlock All 12 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access