Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) Fair Value 2026

D · Utilities - Regulated Electric ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) trades at $65.55, versus a $39.86 median fair value across its 9 active models — 39.2% below the current price. QOC: 6.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $51.30.

Key Facts

Ticker
D
Price
$65.55
Quality Score
6.8/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: 9 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $39.86, 39.2% below the current price of $65.55. Estimates range from $5.39 to $91.15. D scores 6.8/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. D’s -39.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Utilities - Regulated Electric sector median is -25.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Dominion Energy, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give D?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($65.55)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $51.30 -21.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $39.86 -39.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $15.05 -77.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $30.78 -53.1%
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What Is D's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $5.39 to $91.15

CirclFi's 9 active models place Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) between $5.39 and $91.15 per share, a spread of 215% of the median. The median of that range — $39.86 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for D, against a current price of $65.55.

Low · Sentiment SOTPHigh · Regime Cross
$5.39median $39.86$91.15
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelSentiment SOTP$5.39
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$91.15
Model agreement2 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for D. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on D, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Dominion Energy, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $39.86. Trading at $65.55, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -39.2%), as 6 of 9 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $91.15 (+39.1%), versus Sentiment SOTP at $5.39 (-91.8%). This +130.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About D?

9 of 13 models are currently active for D. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for D is $39.86 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $51.30 on its own, implying -21.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does D Rank in Utilities - Regulated Electric?

Among 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks, D ranks #32 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.

The Utilities - Regulated Electric sector introduces analytical considerations specific to power and energy company businesses. For Dominion Energy, Inc., metrics like rate base growth provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is D a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns D a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Dominion Energy, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Dominion Energy, Inc. earns a quality score of 6.8/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +130.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every D valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across D's 9 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Dominion Energy, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Utilities - Regulated Electric Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Utilities - Regulated Electric stocks with 13-model coverage

HEHawaiian Electric Industries, Inc.QOC 6.9EMAEmera IncorporatedQOC 6.8XELXcel Energy Inc.QOC 6.9SOThe Southern CompanyQOC 6.7KEPKorea Electric Power CorporationQOC 7.0TXNMTXNM Energy, Inc.QOC 6.6GNEGenie Energy Ltd.QOC 8.4ENICEnel Chile S.A.QOC 7.4PCGPG&E CorporationQOC 7.2CIGCompanhia Energética de Minas Gerais - CEMIGQOC 8.5

Read investment analysis: HE · EMA · XEL · SO · KEP · TXNM · GNE · ENIC · PCG · CIG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to D?

7 companies across all industries closest to D’s Quality of Company score of 6.8/10.

OMCOmnicom Group Inc.QOC 6.8ARENThe Arena Group Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.8SNAPSnap Inc.QOC 6.8YSGYatsen Holding LimitedQOC 6.8MRMDMariMed Inc.QOC 6.8FDSBFifth District Bancorp, Inc.QOC 6.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: OMC · AREN · SNAP · YSG · MRMD · FDSB · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Dominion Energy, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Dominion Energy, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Dominion Energy, Inc. (D)'s intrinsic value at $39.86 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $5.39 to $91.15. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $51.30 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is D overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $65.55, 2 of 9 active models suggest D may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $39.86, 39.2% below the current price of $65.55 — a consensus view that D is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Dominion Energy, Inc.'s business model in Utilities - Regulated Electric.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.8 mean for D?

Dominion Energy, Inc.'s QOC of 6.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on D?

CirclFi analyzes D with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on D?

Of the 9 models currently active on D, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $91.15 per share, and Sentiment SOTP is the most bearish at $5.39. CirclFi's published fair value for D is the median of that range, $39.86, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 215% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is D a value trap in 2026?

Dominion Energy, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Dominion Energy, Inc. (D) has a median fair value of $39.86 — 39.2% below the current price of $65.55 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/D/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this D valuation
  • Financial statements: Dominion Energy, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000715957) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for D as of ; valuations recomputed .

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