CION Investment Corporation (CION) Fair Value 2026

CION · — ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

— (—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, CION Investment Corporation (CION) trades at $6.46, approximately 14% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $7.53. QOC: 5.6/10. 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CION
Price
$6.46
Quality Score
5.6/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: Markov DDM suggests +413.8% upside with 44% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (7/13) may reduce confidence

Is CION Investment Corporation (CION) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, CION Investment Corporation (CION) appears undervalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $12.42, 92.2% above the current price of $6.46. Estimates range from $7.05 to $33.84. CION scores 5.6/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy CION Investment Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($6.46)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
 $7.53 +16.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $16.79 +159.6%
Markov DDM
Medium Conviction
 $33.22 +413.8%

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What Is CION Investment Corporation (CION) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for CION Investment Corporation. Trading at $6.47 against an estimated intrinsic value of $17.29, 7 of 7 active models flag meaningful upside of +167.4% on average. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $33.84 (+423.5%), while FTNN — the most conservative — estimates $7.05 (+9.0%). This +414.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about CION Investment Corporation's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About CION?

7 of 13 models are currently active for CION. All 7 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates CION's intrinsic value at $7.53, implying +16.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CION Rank in —?

CION operates in the — sector. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.6 reflects mixed fundamentals.

CION Investment Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is CION a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for CION. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for CION Investment Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, CION Investment Corporation is rated at 5.6/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +414.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CION valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CION's 7 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy CION Investment Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar — Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related — stocks with 13-model coverage

PSECProspect Capital CorporationQOC 8.4SCMStellus Capital Investment CorpQOC 7.8FDUSFidus Investment CorporationQOC 7.6HTGCHercules Capital, Inc.QOC 7.6GLADGladstone Capital CorporationQOC 7.4TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC QOC 7.3OXSQOxford Square Capital Corp.QOC 7.2GBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc.QOC 7.2

Read investment analysis: PSEC · SCM · FDUS · HTGC · GLAD

Frequently Asked Questions About CION Investment Corporation

What is CION Investment Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, CION Investment Corporation (CION) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $7.53. The Quality of Company score is 5.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CION overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $6.46, 7 of 7 active models suggest CION may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $12.42, 92.2% above the current price of $6.46 — a consensus view that CION is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits CION Investment Corporation's business model in —.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.6 mean for CION?

CION Investment Corporation's QOC of 5.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CION?

CirclFi analyzes CION with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CION a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for CION at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, CION Investment Corporation (CION) has a median fair value of $12.42 — 92.2% above the current price of $6.46 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CION/ · Methodology

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