Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR) Fair Value 2026

CHKR · Oil & Gas E&P ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR) trades at $0.37, versus a $0.83 median fair value across its 2 active models — 125.5% above the current price. QOC: 5.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CHKR
Price
$0.37
Quality Score
5.3/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +146.2% upside with 10% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $0.83, 125.5% above the current price of $0.37. Estimates range from $0.76 to $0.91. CHKR scores 5.3/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CHKR’s +125.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas E&P sector median is -1.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CHKR?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.37)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
 $0.76 +104.9%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $0.91 +146.2%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust is potentially undervalued at its current price of $0.37. Based on our 13-model framework, Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $0.83 — representing +125.5% implied upside — with 2 out of 2 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $0.91 (+146.2%), versus Markov DDM at $0.76 (+104.9%). This +41.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About CHKR?

2 of 13 models are currently active for CHKR. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for CHKR is $0.83 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CHKR Rank in Oil & Gas E&P?

Among 90 Oil & Gas E&P stocks, CHKR ranks #73 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.3 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas E&P Stocks →

Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust's positioning within the Oil & Gas E&P segment means that reserve life index plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including capital discipline — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is CHKR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CHKR a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust earns a quality score of 5.3/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +41.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CHKR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CHKR's 2 active models, average confidence is 11%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas E&P Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas E&P stocks with 13-model coverage

LEENLeopard Energy, Inc.QOC 5.3TBNTamboran Resources CorporationQOC 5.2VETVermilion Energy Inc.QOC 5.3ROYLRoyale Energy, Inc.QOC 5.1VOCVOC Energy TrustQOC 5.3CRCECircle Energy, Inc.QOC 5.1COPConocoPhillipsQOC 8.9ARAntero Resources CorporationQOC 8.1OBEObsidian Energy Ltd.QOC 6.8TPLTexas Pacific Land CorporationQOC 9.1BSMBlack Stone Minerals, L.P.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: LEEN · TBN · VET · ROYL · VOC · CRCE · COP · AR · OBE · TPL · BSM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CHKR?

7 companies across all industries closest to CHKR’s Quality of Company score of 5.3/10.

CGCCanopy Growth CorporationQOC 5.3BCHGGrayscale Bitcoin Cash TrustQOC 5.3IFRXInflaRx N.V.QOC 5.3AMCAMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.3OCLNOriginClear, Inc.QOC 5.3DJTTrump Media & Technology Group Corp.QOC 5.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CGC · BCHG · IFRX · AMC · OCLN · DJT · NVDA

Where Does CHKR Sit in CirclFi's Oil & Gas E&P Rankings?

CHKR is ranked against every other Oil & Gas E&P stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Oil & Gas E&P stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust’s Valuation?

What is Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR)'s intrinsic value at $0.83 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.76 to $0.91. The Quality of Company score is 5.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CHKR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.37, 2 of 2 active models suggest CHKR may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $0.83, 125.5% above the current price of $0.37 — a consensus view that CHKR is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust's business model in Oil & Gas E&P.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.3 mean for CHKR?

Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust's QOC of 5.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CHKR?

CirclFi analyzes CHKR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CHKR a value trap in 2026?

Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust (CHKR) has a median fair value of $0.83 — 125.5% above the current price of $0.37 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CHKR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CHKR valuation
  • Financial statements: Chesapeake Granite Wash Trust 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001524769) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CHKR as of ; valuations recomputed .