BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (BMRN) Fair Value 2026

BMRN · Pharmaceutical Preparations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (BMRN) trades at $59.20, approximately 144% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $24.28. QOC: 9.4/10. 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BMRN
Price
$59.20
Quality Score
9.4/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +83.1% upside with 58% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($59.20)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$24.28 -59.0%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$8.85 -85.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$40.26 -32.0%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$108.42 +83.1%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 9 additional models including EROIC Spread, Markov DDM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 13 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (BMRN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $41.21, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $59.20. With 11 out of 13 models flagging downside (-30.4% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $108.42 (+83.1%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $8.85 (-85.1%). This +168.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About BMRN?

13 of 13 models are currently active for BMRN. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BMRN's intrinsic value at $24.28, implying -59.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BMRN Rank in Pharmaceutical Preparations?

Among 440 Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks, BMRN ranks #14 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.4 places BMRN in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks →

As a pharmaceutical industry, BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. operates in a sector where revenue per drug is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating BMRN should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is BMRN a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for BMRN. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.4/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +168.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BMRN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BMRN's 13 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Pharmaceutical Preparations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: AZN · CPRX · HRMY · NVO · SIGA

See all Pharmaceutical Preparations stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.

What is BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc. (BMRN) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $24.28. The Quality of Company score is 9.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BMRN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $59.20, 2 of 13 active models suggest BMRN may be undervalued, while 11 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.'s business model in Pharmaceutical Preparations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.4 mean for BMRN?

BioMarin Pharmaceutical Inc.'s QOC of 9.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BMRN?

CirclFi analyzes BMRN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BMRN a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for BMRN at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 13 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on BMRN.

Unlock All 13 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access