BIO-key International, Inc. (BKYI) Fair Value 2026

BKYI · Services-Prepackaged Software ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, BIO-key International, Inc. (BKYI) trades at $4.89, approximately 100% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $2.45. QOC: 6.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
BKYI
Price
$4.89
Quality Score
6.5/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +449.4% upside with 22% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.89)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$2.45 -49.9%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$26.86 +449.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$9.90 +102.4%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$1.19 -75.6%

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What Is BIO-key International, Inc. (BKYI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, BIO-key International, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $9.35, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $4.89. While the average implied return is +91.2%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +524.9% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, EPV, places fair value at $26.86 (+449.4%), while First Chicago — the most conservative — estimates $1.19 (-75.6%). This +524.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about BIO-key International, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About BKYI?

11 of 13 models are currently active for BKYI. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates BKYI's intrinsic value at $2.45, implying -49.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does BKYI Rank in Services-Prepackaged Software?

Among 208 Services-Prepackaged Software stocks, BKYI ranks #129 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.5 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Services-Prepackaged Software Stocks →

Within the Services-Prepackaged Software space, BIO-key International, Inc. competes in an environment where net revenue retention (NRR) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is BKYI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns BKYI a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for BIO-key International, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, BIO-key International, Inc. is rated at 6.5/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +524.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every BKYI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across BKYI's 11 active models, average confidence is 24%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy BIO-key International, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Prepackaged Software Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Prepackaged Software stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CRM · CVLT · EGAN · MANH · MSFT

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Frequently Asked Questions About BIO-key International, Inc.

What is BIO-key International, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, BIO-key International, Inc. (BKYI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $2.45. The Quality of Company score is 6.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is BKYI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.89, 7 of 11 active models suggest BKYI may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits BIO-key International, Inc.'s business model in Services-Prepackaged Software.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.5 mean for BKYI?

BIO-key International, Inc.'s QOC of 6.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on BKYI?

CirclFi analyzes BKYI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is BKYI a value trap in 2026?

BIO-key International, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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