Solitario Resources Corp. (XPL) Fair Value 2026

XPL · Gold and Silver Ores ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Solitario Resources Corp. (XPL) trades at $0.78, approximately 167% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.29. QOC: 4.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 8/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
XPL
Price
$0.78
Quality Score
4.7/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +7.7% upside with 14% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.7/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Solitario Resources Corp. (XPL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Solitario Resources Corp. (XPL) appears overvalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $0.27, 65.0% below the current price of $0.78. Estimates range from $0.01 to $0.93. XPL scores 4.7/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Solitario Resources Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.78)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $0.29 -62.6%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
 $0.01 -98.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $0.25 -67.4%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
 $0.84 +7.7%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 4 additional models including ML-RIV, Dynamic NAV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 8 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is Solitario Resources Corp. (XPL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Solitario Resources Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $0.41. Trading at its current price of $0.78, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 6 of 8 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -46.9%. Notably, Sentiment SOTP sees the most upside at +19.0% (fair value: $0.93), while EPV is the most conservative at -98.7% ($0.01). The spread between these extremes — +117.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About XPL?

8 of 13 models are currently active for XPL. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates XPL's intrinsic value at $0.29, implying -62.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does XPL Rank in Gold and Silver Ores?

Among 62 Gold and Silver Ores stocks, XPL ranks #31 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.7 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Gold and Silver Ores Stocks →

Solitario Resources Corp. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is XPL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns XPL a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for Solitario Resources Corp.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Solitario Resources Corp. earns a quality score of 4.7/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +117.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every XPL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across XPL's 8 active models, average confidence is 23%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Solitario Resources Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Gold and Silver Ores Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Gold and Silver Ores stocks with 13-model coverage

FSMFortuna Mining Corp.QOC 9.4NEMNewmont CorporationQOC 9.3DRDDRDGOLD LimitedQOC 9.2HMYHarmony Gold Mining Company LimQOC 9.1IDRIdaho Strategic Resources, Inc.QOC 8.7KGCKinross Gold CorporationQOC 8.2CDECoeur Mining, Inc.QOC 8.1VOXRVox Royalty Corp.QOC 7.5

Read investment analysis: FSM · NEM · DRD · HMY · IDR

See all Gold and Silver Ores stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Solitario Resources Corp.

What is Solitario Resources Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Solitario Resources Corp. (XPL) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.29. The Quality of Company score is 4.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is XPL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.78, 2 of 8 active models suggest XPL may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $0.27, 65.0% below the current price of $0.78 — a consensus view that XPL is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Solitario Resources Corp.'s business model in Gold and Silver Ores.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.7 mean for XPL?

Solitario Resources Corp.'s QOC of 4.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on XPL?

CirclFi analyzes XPL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is XPL a value trap in 2026?

Solitario Resources Corp.'s Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, Solitario Resources Corp. (XPL) has a median fair value of $0.27 — 65.0% below the current price of $0.78 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/XPL/ · Methodology

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 8 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on XPL.

Unlock All 8 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access