Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) Fair Value 2026

GRO · Other Industrial Metals & Mining ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) trades at $2.44. QOC: 4.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GRO
Price
$2.44
Quality Score
4.9/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: 1 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.9/10 signals weak fundamentals

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GRO?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.44)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
 $1.41 -42.1%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Brazil Potash Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.41. Trading at its current price of $2.44, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 1 of 1 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -42.1%.

What Do the Models Say About GRO?

1 of 13 models are currently active for GRO. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GRO Rank in Other Industrial Metals & Mining?

Among 65 Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, GRO ranks #29 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Other Industrial Metals & Mining Stocks →

The Other Industrial Metals & Mining sector introduces analytical considerations specific to manufacturing company businesses. For Brazil Potash Corp., metrics like capacity utilization rate provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is GRO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GRO a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Brazil Potash Corp.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Brazil Potash Corp. earns a quality score of 4.9/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GRO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GRO's 1 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Brazil Potash Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Other Industrial Metals & Mining Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks with 13-model coverage

NMGNouveau Monde Graphite Inc.QOC 5.0NEXMNexMetals Mining Corp.QOC 4.9XPLSolitario Resources Corp.QOC 5.0ELVRElevra Lithium LimitedQOC 4.8ATLXAtlas Lithium CorporationQOC 5.0FMSTForemost Clean Energy Ltd.QOC 4.8LBSRLiberty Star Uranium & Metals Corp.QOC 3.7LZMLifezone Metals LimitedQOC 2.5USGOU.S. GoldMining Inc.QOC 5.5MTRNMaterion CorporationQOC 8.9BHPBHP Group LimitedQOC 8.3

Read investment analysis: NMG · NEXM · XPL · ELVR · ATLX · FMST · LBSR · LZM · USGO · MTRN · BHP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GRO?

7 companies across all industries closest to GRO’s Quality of Company score of 4.9/10.

CEINCamber Energy, Inc.QOC 4.9DFTXDefinium Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 4.9NGNENeurogene Inc.QOC 4.9CMPXCompass Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 4.9PNYGPony Group Inc.QOC 4.9UPYYUPAY, Inc.QOC 4.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CEIN · DFTX · NGNE · CMPX · PNYG · UPYY · NVDA

Where Does GRO Sit in CirclFi's Other Industrial Metals & Mining Rankings?

GRO is ranked against every other Other Industrial Metals & Mining stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Brazil Potash Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Brazil Potash Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO). The Quality of Company score is 4.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GRO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.44, 0 of 1 active models suggest GRO may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Brazil Potash Corp.'s business model in Other Industrial Metals & Mining.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.9 mean for GRO?

Brazil Potash Corp.'s QOC of 4.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GRO?

CirclFi analyzes GRO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GRO a value trap in 2026?

Brazil Potash Corp.'s Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Brazil Potash Corp. (GRO) a Quality of Company score of 4.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GRO/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GRO valuation
  • Financial statements: Brazil Potash Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001472326) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GRO as of ; valuations recomputed .