Weatherford International plc (WFRD) Fair Value 2026

WFRD · Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Weatherford International plc (WFRD) trades at $81.10, approximately 41% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $136.91. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
WFRD
Price
$81.10
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +129.7% upside with 54% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($81.10)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$136.91 +68.8%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$41.43 -48.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$85.53 +5.5%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$186.32 +129.7%

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What Is Weatherford International plc (WFRD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Weatherford International plc's intrinsic value is estimated at $85.07, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $81.10. With an average implied return of +4.9% across a split 7–6 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +218.0% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +129.7% (fair value: $186.32), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -88.3% ($9.49). The spread between these extremes — +218.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About WFRD?

13 of 13 models are currently active for WFRD. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates WFRD's intrinsic value at $136.91, implying +68.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does WFRD Rank in Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment?

Among 17 Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment stocks, WFRD ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places WFRD in the top tier.

Within the Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment space, Weatherford International plc competes in an environment where finding and development costs (F&D) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is WFRD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WFRD a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for Weatherford International plc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Weatherford International plc is rated at 8.6/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +218.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every WFRD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across WFRD's 13 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Weatherford International plc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: BKR · FTI · WHD · INVX · DNOW

Frequently Asked Questions About Weatherford International plc

What is Weatherford International plc's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Weatherford International plc (WFRD) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $136.91. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is WFRD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $81.10, 7 of 13 active models suggest WFRD may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Weatherford International plc's business model in Oil & Gas Field Machinery & Equipment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for WFRD?

Weatherford International plc's QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on WFRD?

CirclFi analyzes WFRD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is WFRD a value trap in 2026?

Weatherford International plc's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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