Weatherford International plc (WFRD) Fair Value 2026

WFRD · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Weatherford International plc (WFRD) trades at $91.97, versus a $111.14 median fair value across its 12 active models — 20.8% above the current price. QOC: 8.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $173.95.

Key Facts

Ticker
WFRD
Price
$91.97
Quality Score
8.6/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +283.4% upside with 59% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Is Weatherford International plc (WFRD) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Weatherford International plc (WFRD) appears undervalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $111.14, 20.8% above the current price of $91.97. Estimates range from $12.34 to $352.63. WFRD scores 8.6/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. WFRD’s +20.8% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services sector median is -15.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Weatherford International plc Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give WFRD?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($91.97)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $173.95 +89.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $12.34 -86.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $109.19 +18.7%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $352.63 +283.4%
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What Is WFRD's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $12.34 to $352.63

CirclFi's 12 active models place Weatherford International plc (WFRD) between $12.34 and $352.63 per share, a spread of 306% of the median. The median of that range — $111.14 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for WFRD, against a current price of $91.97.

Low · EPVHigh · First Chicago
$12.34median $111.14$352.63
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$12.34
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$352.63
Model agreement8 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for WFRD. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on WFRD, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Weatherford International plc (WFRD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Weatherford International plc's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $111.14. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $91.97 (implied upside of +20.8%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 8 of 12 bullish models. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +283.4% (fair value: $352.63), while EPV is the most conservative at -86.6% ($12.34). The spread between these extremes — +370.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About WFRD?

12 of 13 models are currently active for WFRD. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for WFRD is $111.14 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $173.95 on its own, implying +89.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does WFRD Rank in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services?

Among 52 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, WFRD ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.6 places WFRD in the top tier.

Within the Oil & Gas Equipment & Services space, Weatherford International plc competes in an environment where finding and development costs (F&D) often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is WFRD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns WFRD a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Weatherford International plc. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Weatherford International plc is rated at 8.6/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +370.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every WFRD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across WFRD's 12 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Weatherford International plc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas Equipment & Services Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks with 13-model coverage

INVXInnovex International, Inc.QOC 8.7TSTenaris S.A.QOC 8.6TDWTidewater Inc.QOC 8.7BKRBaker Hughes CompanyQOC 8.5OIIOceaneering International, Inc.QOC 8.8NESRNational Energy Services Reunited Corp.QOC 8.4FLOCFlowco Holdings Inc.QOC 8.0NOANorth American Construction Group Ltd.QOC 6.9KLXEKLX Energy Services Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.4WHDCactus, Inc.QOC 9.2FTITechnipFMC plcQOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: INVX · TS · TDW · BKR · OII · NESR · FLOC · NOA · KLXE · WHD · FTI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to WFRD?

7 companies across all industries closest to WFRD’s Quality of Company score of 8.6/10.

FMBHFirst Mid Bancshares, Inc.QOC 8.6CSWCSW Industrials, Inc.QOC 8.6EWBCEast West Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.6ZWSZurn Elkay Water Solutions CorporationQOC 8.6DORMDorman Products, Inc.QOC 8.6NAGENiagen Bioscience, Inc.QOC 8.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: FMBH · CSW · EWBC · ZWS · DORM · NAGE · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Weatherford International plc’s Valuation?

What is Weatherford International plc's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Weatherford International plc (WFRD)'s intrinsic value at $111.14 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $12.34 to $352.63. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $173.95 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is WFRD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $91.97, 8 of 12 active models suggest WFRD may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $111.14, 20.8% above the current price of $91.97 — a consensus view that WFRD is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Weatherford International plc's business model in Oil & Gas Equipment & Services.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.6 mean for WFRD?

Weatherford International plc's QOC of 8.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on WFRD?

CirclFi analyzes WFRD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on WFRD?

Of the 12 models currently active on WFRD, First Chicago is the most bullish at $352.63 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $12.34. CirclFi's published fair value for WFRD is the median of that range, $111.14, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 306% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is WFRD a value trap in 2026?

Weatherford International plc's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Weatherford International plc (WFRD) has a median fair value of $111.14 — 20.8% above the current price of $91.97 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/WFRD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this WFRD valuation
  • Financial statements: Weatherford International plc 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001603923) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for WFRD as of ; valuations recomputed .

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