Townsquare Media, Inc. (TSQ) Fair Value 2026

TSQ · Radio Broadcasting Stations ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (5/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Townsquare Media, Inc. (TSQ) trades at $6.75, approximately 70% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $22.73. QOC: 6.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 5/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TSQ
Price
$6.75
Quality Score
6.0/10
Value Trap Risk
5/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +236.8% upside with 67% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($6.75)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$22.73 +236.8%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$5.74 -15.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$19.09 +182.9%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$10.30 +52.6%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 7 additional models including EROIC Spread, ML-RIV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 11 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is Townsquare Media, Inc. (TSQ) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Townsquare Media, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $6.75. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $11.72 (+73.7% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 6 bullish models and 5 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $34.12 (+405.5%), versus Regime Cross at $2.54 (-62.4%). This +467.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About TSQ?

11 of 13 models are currently active for TSQ. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TSQ's intrinsic value at $22.73, implying +236.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TSQ Rank in Radio Broadcasting Stations?

Among 10 Radio Broadcasting Stations stocks, TSQ ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.0 indicates above-average quality.

Townsquare Media, Inc.'s positioning within the Radio Broadcasting Stations segment means that capital intensity ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including 5G network deployment — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is TSQ a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TSQ a score of 5/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Townsquare Media, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Townsquare Media, Inc. scores 6.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +467.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TSQ valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TSQ's 11 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Townsquare Media, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Radio Broadcasting Stations Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Radio Broadcasting Stations stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: TME · SPOT · SIRI · SGA · IHRT

Frequently Asked Questions About Townsquare Media, Inc.

What is Townsquare Media, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Townsquare Media, Inc. (TSQ) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $22.73. The Quality of Company score is 6.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TSQ overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $6.75, 6 of 11 active models suggest TSQ may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Townsquare Media, Inc.'s business model in Radio Broadcasting Stations.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.0 mean for TSQ?

Townsquare Media, Inc.'s QOC of 6.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TSQ?

CirclFi analyzes TSQ with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TSQ a value trap in 2026?

Townsquare Media, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 5/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 11 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on TSQ.

Unlock All 11 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access