Townsquare Media, Inc. (TSQ) Fair Value 2026

TSQ · Advertising Agencies ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (5/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Townsquare Media, Inc. (TSQ) trades at $5.81, versus a $8.58 median fair value across its 7 active models — 47.7% above the current price. QOC: 6.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 5/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $3.47.

Key Facts

Ticker
TSQ
Price
$5.81
Quality Score
6.3/10
Value Trap Risk
5/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: RCMH-DCF suggests +205.8% upside with 56% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (7/13) may reduce confidence

Is Townsquare Media, Inc. (TSQ) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Townsquare Media, Inc. (TSQ) appears undervalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $8.58, 47.7% above the current price of $5.81. Estimates range from $3.47 to $17.77. TSQ scores 6.3/10 on fundamental quality and 5/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. TSQ’s +47.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Advertising Agencies sector median is +3.2%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Townsquare Media, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TSQ?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.81)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $3.47 -40.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $8.58 +47.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $17.77 +205.8%
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What Is TSQ's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $3.47 to $17.77

CirclFi's 7 active models place Townsquare Media, Inc. (TSQ) between $3.47 and $17.77 per share, a spread of 167% of the median. The median of that range — $8.58 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for TSQ, against a current price of $5.81.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · RCMH-DCF
$3.47median $8.58$17.77
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$3.47
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$17.77
Model agreement5 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for TSQ. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on TSQ, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Townsquare Media, Inc. (TSQ) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Townsquare Media, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $8.58, suggesting a +47.7% median upside from the current price of $5.81. While 5 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $17.77 (+205.8%), versus Bayesian DCF at $3.47 (-40.2%). This +246.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About TSQ?

7 of 13 models are currently active for TSQ. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for TSQ is $8.58 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $3.47 on its own, implying -40.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TSQ Rank in Advertising Agencies?

Among 48 Advertising Agencies stocks, TSQ ranks #21 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.3 indicates above-average quality.

Townsquare Media, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is TSQ a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TSQ a score of 5/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Townsquare Media, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Townsquare Media, Inc. scores 6.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +246.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TSQ valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TSQ's 7 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Townsquare Media, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Advertising Agencies Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Advertising Agencies stocks with 13-model coverage

WPPWPP plcQOC 6.3TDICDreamland LimitedQOC 5.9NCMINational CineMedia, Inc.QOC 6.6HAFGHolistic Asset Finance Group Co., Ltd.QOC 5.9EVCEntravision Communications CorporationQOC 6.7ADVAdvantage Solutions Inc.QOC 5.8VSMEVS MEDIA Holdings LimitedQOC 5.0BAOSBaosheng Media Group Holdings LimitedQOC 2.5ACCSACCESS Newswire Inc.QOC 7.6APPAppLovin CorporationQOC 9.5QNSTQuinStreet, Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: WPP · TDIC · NCMI · HAFG · EVC · ADV · VSME · BAOS · ACCS · APP · QNST

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TSQ?

7 companies across all industries closest to TSQ’s Quality of Company score of 6.3/10.

GLXGGalaxy Payroll Group LimitedQOC 6.3CVEOCiveo CorporationQOC 6.3GNLGlobal Net Lease, Inc.QOC 6.3CRDLCardiol Therapeutics Inc.QOC 6.3MSTRStrategy IncQOC 6.3THTarget Hospitality Corp.QOC 6.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: GLXG · CVEO · GNL · CRDL · MSTR · TH · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Townsquare Media, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Townsquare Media, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Townsquare Media, Inc. (TSQ)'s intrinsic value at $8.58 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $3.47 to $17.77. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $3.47 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TSQ overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.81, 5 of 7 active models suggest TSQ may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $8.58, 47.7% above the current price of $5.81 — a consensus view that TSQ is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Townsquare Media, Inc.'s business model in Advertising Agencies.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.3 mean for TSQ?

Townsquare Media, Inc.'s QOC of 6.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TSQ?

CirclFi analyzes TSQ with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on TSQ?

Of the 7 models currently active on TSQ, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $17.77 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $3.47. CirclFi's published fair value for TSQ is the median of that range, $8.58, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 167% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is TSQ a value trap in 2026?

Townsquare Media, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 5/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Townsquare Media, Inc. (TSQ) has a median fair value of $8.58 — 47.7% above the current price of $5.81 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TSQ/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TSQ valuation
  • Financial statements: Townsquare Media, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001499832) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TSQ as of ; valuations recomputed .

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