What Is Marchex, Inc. (MCHX) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Marchex, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.09. Trading at its current price of $1.72, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -36.7%. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +10.1% (fair value: $1.89), while RCMH-DCF is the most conservative at -93.7% ($0.11). The spread between these extremes — +103.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About MCHX?
12 of 13 models are currently active for MCHX. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MCHX's intrinsic value at $0.45, implying -73.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MCHX Rank in Services-Prepackaged Software?
Among 205 Services-Prepackaged Software stocks, MCHX ranks #145 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.
See all Most Undervalued Services-Prepackaged Software Stocks →
The Services-Prepackaged Software sector introduces analytical considerations specific to software business businesses. For Marchex, Inc., metrics like net revenue retention (NRR) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is MCHX a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MCHX a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Marchex, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Marchex, Inc. scores 5.9 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +103.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MCHX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MCHX's 12 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad