OraSure Technologies, Inc. (OSUR) Fair Value 2026

OSUR · Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (27/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, OraSure Technologies, Inc. (OSUR) trades at $4.30, approximately 23% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $5.58. QOC: 7.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 27/100 (LOW). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
OSUR
Price
$4.30
Quality Score
7.2/10
Value Trap Risk
27/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +29.7% upside with 62% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (13/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($4.30)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $5.58 +29.7%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
 $4.21 -2.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $5.35 +24.5%
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $0.58 -86.4%

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What Is OraSure Technologies, Inc. (OSUR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, OraSure Technologies, Inc. presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $4.30. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $4.42 (+2.9% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 7 bullish models and 4 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $6.80 (+58.2%), versus First Chicago at $0.58 (-86.4%). This +144.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About OSUR?

13 of 13 models are currently active for OSUR. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates OSUR's intrinsic value at $5.58, implying +29.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OSUR Rank in Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus?

Among 111 Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus stocks, OSUR ranks #34 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus Stocks →

OraSure Technologies, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is OSUR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OSUR a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for OraSure Technologies, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, OraSure Technologies, Inc. is rated at 7.2/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +144.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OSUR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OSUR's 13 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy OraSure Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus stocks with 13-model coverage

DXCMDexCom, Inc.QOC 10.0IRMDiRadimed CorporationQOC 10.0PODDInsulet CorporationQOC 10.0RMDResMed Inc.QOC 10.0WSTWest Pharmaceutical Services, IQOC 9.9HAEHaemonetics CorporationQOC 9.8LMATLeMaitre Vascular, Inc.QOC 9.8GMEDGlobus Medical, Inc.QOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: DXCM · IRMD · PODD · RMD · WST

See all Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About OraSure Technologies, Inc.

What is OraSure Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, OraSure Technologies, Inc. (OSUR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $5.58. The Quality of Company score is 7.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OSUR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $4.30, 8 of 13 active models suggest OSUR may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits OraSure Technologies, Inc.'s business model in Surgical & Medical Instruments & Apparatus.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.2 mean for OSUR?

OraSure Technologies, Inc.'s QOC of 7.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OSUR?

CirclFi analyzes OSUR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is OSUR a value trap in 2026?

OraSure Technologies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 27/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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