Avantor, Inc. (AVTR) Fair Value 2026

AVTR · Laboratory Analytical Instruments ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Avantor, Inc. (AVTR) trades at $10.56, approximately 1% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $10.51. QOC: 9.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AVTR
Price
$10.56
Quality Score
9.2/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +153.1% upside with 71% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($10.56)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$10.51 -0.5%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$26.74 +153.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$17.43 +65.0%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$21.30 +101.6%

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What Is Avantor, Inc. (AVTR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Avantor, Inc. is potentially undervalued at its current price of $10.57. Based on our 13-model framework, Avantor, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $19.23 — representing +82.0% implied upside — with 10 out of 12 active models confirming this thesis. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $55.82 (+428.3%), versus Markov DDM at $1.03 (-90.2%). This +518.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About AVTR?

12 of 13 models are currently active for AVTR. Of these, 10 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates AVTR's intrinsic value at $10.51, implying -0.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AVTR Rank in Laboratory Analytical Instruments?

Among 21 Laboratory Analytical Instruments stocks, AVTR ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.2 places AVTR in the top tier.

Avantor, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is AVTR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AVTR a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Avantor, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Avantor, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 9.2/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +518.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AVTR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AVTR's 12 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Avantor, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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Frequently Asked Questions About Avantor, Inc.

What is Avantor, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Avantor, Inc. (AVTR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $10.51. The Quality of Company score is 9.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AVTR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $10.56, 10 of 12 active models suggest AVTR may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Avantor, Inc.'s business model in Laboratory Analytical Instruments.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.2 mean for AVTR?

Avantor, Inc.'s QOC of 9.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AVTR?

CirclFi analyzes AVTR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is AVTR a value trap in 2026?

Avantor, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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