Genco Shipping & Trading Limited (GNK) Fair Value 2026

GNK · Marine Shipping ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Genco Shipping & Trading Limited (GNK) trades at $25.88, versus a $8.00 median fair value across its 11 active models — 69.1% below the current price. QOC: 6.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $6.06.

Key Facts

Ticker
GNK
Price
$25.88
Quality Score
6.8/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +70.3% upside with 54% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Genco Shipping & Trading Limited (GNK) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Genco Shipping & Trading Limited (GNK) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $8.00, 69.1% below the current price of $25.88. Estimates range from $5.25 to $44.06. GNK scores 6.8/10 on fundamental quality and 24/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. GNK’s -69.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Marine Shipping sector median is -22.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Genco Shipping & Trading Limited Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GNK?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($25.88)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $6.06 -76.6%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $9.83 -62.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $44.06 +70.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.84 -69.7%
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What Is GNK's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $5.25 to $44.06

CirclFi's 11 active models place Genco Shipping & Trading Limited (GNK) between $5.25 and $44.06 per share, a spread of 485% of the median. The median of that range — $8.00 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GNK, against a current price of $25.88.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · First Chicago
$5.25median $8.00$44.06
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$5.25
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$44.06
Model agreement1 bullish · 10 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GNK. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GNK, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Genco Shipping & Trading Limited (GNK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Genco Shipping & Trading Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at $8.00. Trading at its current price of $25.88, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 11 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -69.1%. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $44.06 (+70.3%), versus ML-RIV at $5.25 (-79.7%). This +149.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About GNK?

11 of 13 models are currently active for GNK. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for GNK is $8.00 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $6.06 on its own, implying -76.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GNK Rank in Marine Shipping?

Among 38 Marine Shipping stocks, GNK ranks #20 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.

The Marine Shipping sector introduces analytical considerations specific to transportation company businesses. For Genco Shipping & Trading Limited, metrics like units delivered provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is GNK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GNK a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Genco Shipping & Trading Limited. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Genco Shipping & Trading Limited earns a quality score of 6.8/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +149.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GNK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GNK's 11 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Genco Shipping & Trading Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Marine Shipping Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Marine Shipping stocks with 13-model coverage

ZIMZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.QOC 6.8SMHISEACOR Marine Holdings Inc.QOC 6.4EHLDEuroholdings Ltd.QOC 7.0SFLSFL Corporation Ltd.QOC 6.3CISSC3is Inc.QOC 7.1GLBSGlobus Maritime LimitedQOC 6.2VNTGVantage CorpQOC 5.4GSLGlobal Ship Lease, Inc.QOC 9.4NCTIntercont (Cayman) LimitedQOC 7.7CMRECostamare Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: ZIM · SMHI · EHLD · SFL · CISS · GLBS · VNTG · GSL · NCT · CMRE

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GNK?

7 companies across all industries closest to GNK’s Quality of Company score of 6.8/10.

HYPRHyperfine, Inc.QOC 6.8LIFDLFTD Partners Inc.QOC 6.8TLSTelos CorporationQOC 6.8OISOil States International, Inc.QOC 6.8CHUCCharlie's Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.8EGYVAALCO Energy, Inc.QOC 6.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: HYPR · LIFD · TLS · OIS · CHUC · EGY · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Genco Shipping & Trading Limited’s Valuation?

What is Genco Shipping & Trading Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Genco Shipping & Trading Limited (GNK)'s intrinsic value at $8.00 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $5.25 to $44.06. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $6.06 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GNK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $25.88, 1 of 11 active models suggest GNK may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $8.00, 69.1% below the current price of $25.88 — a consensus view that GNK is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Genco Shipping & Trading Limited's business model in Marine Shipping.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.8 mean for GNK?

Genco Shipping & Trading Limited's QOC of 6.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GNK?

CirclFi analyzes GNK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GNK?

Of the 11 models currently active on GNK, First Chicago is the most bullish at $44.06 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $5.25. CirclFi's published fair value for GNK is the median of that range, $8.00, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 485% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GNK a value trap in 2026?

Genco Shipping & Trading Limited's Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Genco Shipping & Trading Limited (GNK) has a median fair value of $8.00 — 69.1% below the current price of $25.88 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GNK/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GNK valuation
  • Financial statements: Genco Shipping & Trading Limited 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001326200) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GNK as of ; valuations recomputed .

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