Integra Resources Corp. (ITRG) Fair Value 2026

ITRG · Gold and Silver Ores ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

1.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Integra Resources Corp. (ITRG) trades at $2.14, approximately 208% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.69. QOC: 1.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ITRG
Price
$2.14
Quality Score
1.8/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: 12 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 1.8/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.14)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.69 -67.6%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$2.01 -6.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$1.56 -27.3%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$1.28 -40.3%

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What Is Integra Resources Corp. (ITRG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Integra Resources Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.60. Trading at its current price of $2.14, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 9 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -25.0%. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +53.9% (fair value: $3.29), while RCMH-DCF is the most conservative at -94.8% ($0.11). The spread between these extremes — +148.7% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About ITRG?

12 of 13 models are currently active for ITRG. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ITRG's intrinsic value at $0.69, implying -67.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ITRG Rank in Gold and Silver Ores?

Among 64 Gold and Silver Ores stocks, ITRG ranks #64 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 1.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 1.8 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Gold and Silver Ores Stocks →

Integra Resources Corp. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is ITRG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ITRG a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Integra Resources Corp.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Integra Resources Corp. earns a quality score of 1.8/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +148.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ITRG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ITRG's 12 active models, average confidence is 17%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Integra Resources Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Gold and Silver Ores Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Gold and Silver Ores stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: FSM · NEM · DRD · AU · HMY

See all Gold and Silver Ores stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Integra Resources Corp.

What is Integra Resources Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Integra Resources Corp. (ITRG) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.69. The Quality of Company score is 1.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ITRG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.14, 3 of 12 active models suggest ITRG may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Integra Resources Corp.'s business model in Gold and Silver Ores.

What does a Quality of Company score of 1.8 mean for ITRG?

Integra Resources Corp.'s QOC of 1.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ITRG?

CirclFi analyzes ITRG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ITRG a value trap in 2026?

Integra Resources Corp.'s Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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