Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd (MTA) Fair Value 2026

MTA · Gold and Silver Ores ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd (MTA) trades at $7.05, approximately 379% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.47. QOC: 2.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
MTA
Price
$7.05
Quality Score
2.1/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: 12 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.1/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($7.05)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$1.47 -79.1%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$0.35 -95.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$3.78 -46.5%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$0.22 -96.9%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 8 additional models including EROIC Spread, ML-RIV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 12 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd (MTA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd's intrinsic value is estimated at $2.68. Trading at its current price of $7.06, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -62.0%. Notably, Sentiment SOTP sees the most upside at +24.7% (fair value: $8.80), while First Chicago is the most conservative at -96.9% ($0.22). The spread between these extremes — +121.6% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About MTA?

12 of 13 models are currently active for MTA. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MTA's intrinsic value at $1.47, implying -79.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MTA Rank in Gold and Silver Ores?

Among 64 Gold and Silver Ores stocks, MTA ranks #56 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.1 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Gold and Silver Ores Stocks →

Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is MTA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MTA a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd scores 2.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a weak rating that exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +121.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MTA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MTA's 12 active models, average confidence is 16%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Gold and Silver Ores Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Gold and Silver Ores stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: FSM · NEM · DRD · AU · HMY

See all Gold and Silver Ores stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd

What is Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd (MTA) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $1.47. The Quality of Company score is 2.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MTA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $7.05, 2 of 12 active models suggest MTA may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd's business model in Gold and Silver Ores.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.1 mean for MTA?

Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd's QOC of 2.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MTA?

CirclFi analyzes MTA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is MTA a value trap in 2026?

Metalla Royalty & Streaming Ltd's Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 12 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on MTA.

Unlock All 12 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access