Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) Fair Value 2026

ASM · Other Precious Metals & Mining ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) trades at $5.92, approximately 678% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.76. QOC: 2.2/10. 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ASM
Price
$5.92
Quality Score
2.2/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: 10 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.2/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $3.68, 38.0% below the current price of $5.92. Estimates range from $0.76 to $6.40. ASM scores 2.2/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.92)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.76 -87.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$2.35 -60.3%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$5.00 -15.6%
RCMH-DCF
Low Conviction
$1.35 -77.3%

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What Is Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $3.42, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $5.93. With 8 out of 10 models flagging downside (-42.3% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $6.40 (+8.0%), while Bayesian DCF — the most conservative — estimates $0.76 (-87.1%). This +95.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About ASM?

10 of 13 models are currently active for ASM. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ASM's intrinsic value at $0.76, implying -87.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ASM Rank in Other Precious Metals & Mining?

Among 1 Other Precious Metals & Mining stocks, ASM ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.2 signals below-average fundamentals.

Within the Other Precious Metals & Mining space, Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. competes in an environment where working capital efficiency often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is ASM a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for ASM. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd.'s fundamental quality profile registers 2.2/10. This concerning score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +95.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ASM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ASM's 10 active models, average confidence is 4%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Frequently Asked Questions About Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd.

What is Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.76. The Quality of Company score is 2.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ASM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.92, 1 of 10 active models suggest ASM may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $3.68, 38.0% below the current price of $5.92 — a consensus view that ASM is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd.'s business model in Other Precious Metals & Mining.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.2 mean for ASM?

Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd.'s QOC of 2.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ASM?

CirclFi analyzes ASM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ASM a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for ASM at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. (ASM) has a median fair value of $3.68 — 38.0% below the current price of $5.92 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ASM/ · Methodology

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