Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) Fair Value 2026

HMR · Marine Shipping ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (46/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) trades at $1.37, versus a $1.19 median fair value across its 7 active models — 12.8% below the current price. QOC: 4.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 46/100 (WARN). 7/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $1.40.

Key Facts

Ticker
HMR
Price
$1.37
Quality Score
4.9/10
Value Trap Risk
46/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +2.3% upside with 60% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 46 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $1.19, 12.8% below the current price of $1.37. Estimates range from $0.28 to $2.42. HMR scores 4.9/10 on fundamental quality and 46/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. HMR’s -12.8% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Marine Shipping sector median is -15.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give HMR?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($1.37)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.40 +2.3%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $1.19 -12.8%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $0.28 -79.8%
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What Is HMR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $0.28 to $2.42

CirclFi's 7 active models place Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) between $0.28 and $2.42 per share, a spread of 180% of the median. The median of that range — $1.19 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for HMR, against a current price of $1.37.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · RCMH-DCF
$0.28median $1.19$2.42
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$0.28
Most bullish modelRCMH-DCF$2.42
Model agreement2 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for HMR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on HMR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. at its current price of $1.37. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $1.19 (-12.8% vs price), with 4 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $2.42 (+76.8%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.28 (-79.8%). This +156.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About HMR?

7 of 13 models are currently active for HMR. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for HMR is $1.19 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $1.40 on its own, implying +2.3% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HMR Rank in Marine Shipping?

Among 37 Marine Shipping stocks, HMR ranks #29 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

As a automotive sector, Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. operates in a sector where EBIT per unit is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating HMR should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is HMR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HMR a score of 46/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. is rated at 4.9/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +156.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HMR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HMR's 7 active models, average confidence is 36%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Marine Shipping Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Marine Shipping stocks with 13-model coverage

VNTGVantage CorpQOC 5.4ICONIcon Energy Corp.QOC 4.8EDRYEuroDry Ltd.QOC 5.4SVRNOceanPal Inc.QOC 4.7CMDBCostamare Bulkers Holdings LimitedQOC 5.5ESEAEuroseas Ltd.QOC 3.3GSLGlobal Ship Lease, Inc.QOC 9.4NCTIntercont (Cayman) LimitedQOC 7.7ZIMZIM Integrated Shipping Services Ltd.QOC 6.8CMRECostamare Inc.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: VNTG · ICON · EDRY · SVRN · CMDB · ESEA · GSL · NCT · ZIM · CMRE

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to HMR?

7 companies across all industries closest to HMR’s Quality of Company score of 4.9/10.

HYEXHealthy Extracts Inc.QOC 4.9HQHAbrdn Healthcare InvestorsQOC 4.9FUSEFusemachines Inc.QOC 4.9BOEBlackRock Enhanced Global Dividend TrustQOC 4.9MGAMMobile Global Esports Inc.QOC 4.9GWAVGreenwave Technology Solutions, Inc.QOC 4.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: HYEX · HQH · FUSE · BOE · MGAM · GWAV · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR)'s intrinsic value at $1.19 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.28 to $2.42. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $1.40 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 4.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HMR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $1.37, 3 of 7 active models suggest HMR may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $1.19, 12.8% below the current price of $1.37 — a consensus view that HMR is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp.'s business model in Marine Shipping.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.9 mean for HMR?

Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp.'s QOC of 4.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HMR?

CirclFi analyzes HMR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on HMR?

Of the 7 models currently active on HMR, RCMH-DCF is the most bullish at $2.42 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $0.28. CirclFi's published fair value for HMR is the median of that range, $1.19, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 180% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is HMR a value trap in 2026?

Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp.'s Value Trap score is 46/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. (HMR) has a median fair value of $1.19 — 12.8% below the current price of $1.37 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HMR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this HMR valuation
  • Financial statements: Heidmar Maritime Holdings Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002029471) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for HMR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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