Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) Fair Value 2026

ICON · Marine Shipping ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (25/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) trades at $0.98, versus a $0.62 median fair value across its 2 active models — 37.3% below the current price. QOC: 4.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 25/100 (LOW). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ICON
Price
$0.98
Quality Score
4.8/10
Value Trap Risk
25/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: 2 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.8/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $0.62, 37.3% below the current price of $0.98. Estimates range from $0.27 to $0.96. ICON scores 4.8/10 on fundamental quality and 25/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. ICON’s -37.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Marine Shipping sector median is -22.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Icon Energy Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ICON?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.98)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.96 -1.7%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $0.27 -72.8%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Icon Energy Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $0.62, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $0.98. While the median implied return is -37.3%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +71.1% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, ML-RIV, places fair value at $0.96 (-1.7%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $0.27 (-72.8%). This +71.1% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Icon Energy Corp.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About ICON?

2 of 13 models are currently active for ICON. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for ICON is $0.62 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ICON Rank in Marine Shipping?

Among 38 Marine Shipping stocks, ICON ranks #31 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Within the Marine Shipping space, Icon Energy Corp. competes in an environment where inventory days supply often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is ICON a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ICON a score of 25/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Icon Energy Corp.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Icon Energy Corp. is rated at 4.8/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +71.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ICON valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ICON's 2 active models, average confidence is 60%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Icon Energy Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Marine Shipping Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Marine Shipping stocks with 13-model coverage

HMRHeidmar Maritime Holdings Corp.QOC 4.9SVRNOceanPal Inc.QOC 4.7VNTGVantage CorpQOC 5.4ESEAEuroseas Ltd.QOC 3.3EDRYEuroDry Ltd.QOC 5.4SBSafe Bulkers, Inc.QOC 2.8CMRECostamare Inc.QOC 9.1NMMNavios Maritime Partners L.P.QOC 7.7SMHISEACOR Marine Holdings Inc.QOC 6.4GSLGlobal Ship Lease, Inc.QOC 9.4

Read investment analysis: HMR · SVRN · VNTG · ESEA · EDRY · SB · CMRE · NMM · SMHI · GSL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ICON?

7 companies across all industries closest to ICON’s Quality of Company score of 4.8/10.

NMADNOMAD Power Solutions, Inc.QOC 4.8GITSGlobal Interactive Technologies, Inc.QOC 4.8ANNXAnnexon, Inc.QOC 4.8PVLAPalvella Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 4.8GUTThe Gabelli Utility TrustQOC 4.8FMSTForemost Clean Energy Ltd.QOC 4.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: NMAD · GITS · ANNX · PVLA · GUT · FMST · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Icon Energy Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Icon Energy Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Icon Energy Corp. (ICON)'s intrinsic value at $0.62 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.27 to $0.96. The Quality of Company score is 4.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ICON overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.98, 0 of 2 active models suggest ICON may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $0.62, 37.3% below the current price of $0.98 — a consensus view that ICON is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Icon Energy Corp.'s business model in Marine Shipping.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.8 mean for ICON?

Icon Energy Corp.'s QOC of 4.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ICON?

CirclFi analyzes ICON with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ICON a value trap in 2026?

Icon Energy Corp.'s Value Trap score is 25/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) has a median fair value of $0.62 — 37.3% below the current price of $0.98 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ICON/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ICON valuation
  • Financial statements: Icon Energy Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001995574) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ICON as of ; valuations recomputed .