Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) Fair Value 2026

ICON · Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) trades at $0.94, approximately 69% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $3.07. QOC: 4.8/10. 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ICON
Price
$0.94
Quality Score
4.8/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +365.8% upside with 34% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.8/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) appears undervalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $3.07, 227.5% above the current price of $0.94. Estimates range from $0.12 to $5.00. ICON scores 4.8/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Icon Energy Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.94)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
$3.07 +227.5%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$0.12 -86.8%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$4.36 +365.8%
ML-RIV
Medium Conviction
$3.89 +316.1%

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What Is Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Icon Energy Corp.. Trading at $0.94 against an estimated intrinsic value of $2.71, 7 of 9 active models flag meaningful upside of +189.3% on average. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $5.00 (+434.1%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $0.12 (-86.8%). This +520.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Icon Energy Corp.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About ICON?

9 of 13 models are currently active for ICON. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ICON's intrinsic value at $3.07, implying +227.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ICON Rank in Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight?

Among 43 Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight stocks, ICON ranks #32 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight Stocks →

Within the Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight space, Icon Energy Corp. competes in an environment where inventory days supply often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is ICON a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for ICON. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Icon Energy Corp.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Icon Energy Corp. is rated at 4.8/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +520.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ICON valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ICON's 9 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Icon Energy Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

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Read investment analysis: GSL · ECO · DHT · CMRE · NMM

See all Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Icon Energy Corp.

What is Icon Energy Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $3.07. The Quality of Company score is 4.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ICON overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.94, 7 of 9 active models suggest ICON may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $3.07, 227.5% above the current price of $0.94 — a consensus view that ICON is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Icon Energy Corp.'s business model in Deep Sea Foreign Transportation of Freight.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.8 mean for ICON?

Icon Energy Corp.'s QOC of 4.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ICON?

CirclFi analyzes ICON with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ICON a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for ICON at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Icon Energy Corp. (ICON) has a median fair value of $3.07 — 227.5% above the current price of $0.94 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ICON/ · Methodology

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