GeoPark Limited (GPRK) Fair Value 2026

GPRK · Oil & Gas E&P ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, GeoPark Limited (GPRK) trades at $11.44. QOC: 2.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GPRK
Price
$11.44
Quality Score
2.8/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Regime Cross-Sectional suggests +172.5% upside with 25% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.8/10 signals weak fundamentals

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GPRK?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($11.44)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Relative · Medium Conviction
 $31.17 +172.5%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is GeoPark Limited (GPRK) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GeoPark Limited is potentially undervalued at its current price of $11.44. Based on our 13-model framework, GeoPark Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $31.17 — representing +172.5% implied upside — with 1 out of 1 active models confirming this thesis.

What Do the Models Say About GPRK?

1 of 13 models are currently active for GPRK. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GPRK Rank in Oil & Gas E&P?

Among 91 Oil & Gas E&P stocks, GPRK ranks #89 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.8 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas E&P Stocks →

The Oil & Gas E&P sector introduces analytical considerations specific to energy producer businesses. For GeoPark Limited, metrics like production decline rate provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is GPRK a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GPRK a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for GeoPark Limited. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, GeoPark Limited scores 2.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a weak rating that exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GPRK valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GPRK's 1 active models, average confidence is 25%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy GeoPark Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas E&P Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Oil & Gas E&P stocks with 13-model coverage

REOSReoStar Energy Corp.QOC 3.1VISTVista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.QOC 2.8FTWPresidio Production CompanyQOC 3.4GLNDGreenland Energy CompanyQOC 2.2PTCOPetroGas CompanyQOC 3.5TPLTexas Pacific Land CorporationQOC 9.1MTDRMatador Resources CompanyQOC 8.4CRKComstock Resources, Inc.QOC 7.4BSINBig Sky Industrial Inc.QOC 5.6BSMBlack Stone Minerals, L.P.QOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: REOS · VIST · FTW · GLND · PTCO · TPL · MTDR · CRK · BSIN · BSM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GPRK?

6 companies across all industries closest to GPRK’s Quality of Company score of 2.8/10.

ABLVAble View Global Inc.QOC 2.8AIIORobo.ai Inc.QOC 2.8WPRTWestport Fuel Systems Inc.QOC 2.8YIBOPlanet Image International LimitedQOC 2.8GCLGCL Global Holdings LtdQOC 2.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ABLV · AIIO · WPRT · YIBO · GCL · NVDA

Where Does GPRK Sit in CirclFi's Oil & Gas E&P Rankings?

GPRK is ranked against every other Oil & Gas E&P stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Oil & Gas E&P stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About GeoPark Limited’s Valuation?

What is GeoPark Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for GeoPark Limited (GPRK). The Quality of Company score is 2.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GPRK overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $11.44, 1 of 1 active models suggest GPRK may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits GeoPark Limited's business model in Oil & Gas E&P.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.8 mean for GPRK?

GeoPark Limited's QOC of 2.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GPRK?

CirclFi analyzes GPRK with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GPRK a value trap in 2026?

GeoPark Limited's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns GeoPark Limited (GPRK) a Quality of Company score of 2.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GPRK/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GPRK valuation
  • Financial statements: GeoPark Limited 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001464591) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GPRK as of ; valuations recomputed .