Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) Fair Value 2026

VIST · Oil & Gas E&P ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 0 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) trades at $70.14. QOC: 2.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 0/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
VIST
Price
$70.14
Quality Score
2.8/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
0/13
Last Updated
Strength: 0 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.8/10 signals weak fundamentals

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give VIST?

0 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($70.14)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside

All Models Active

All 0 models are displayed above.

What Is Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. currently lacks sufficient data across our 13-model framework. As more financial data is processed from SEC filings, our models will generate intrinsic value estimates.

What Do the Models Say About VIST?

0 of 13 models are currently active for VIST. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does VIST Rank in Oil & Gas E&P?

Among 90 Oil & Gas E&P stocks, VIST ranks #89 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.8 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Oil & Gas E&P Stocks →

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.'s positioning within the Oil & Gas E&P segment means that debt-to-EBITDAX plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including capital discipline — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is VIST a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VIST a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

0 of 13 models are active for Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. earns a quality score of 2.8/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every VIST valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Oil & Gas E&P Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Oil & Gas E&P stocks with 13-model coverage

GPRKGeoPark LimitedQOC 2.8GLNDGreenland Energy CompanyQOC 2.2REOSReoStar Energy Corp.QOC 3.1TPLTexas Pacific Land CorporationQOC 9.1FTWPresidio Production CompanyQOC 3.4BSMBlack Stone Minerals, L.P.QOC 9.1CHRDChord Energy CorporationQOC 8.3EPMEvolution Petroleum CorporationQOC 7.1ZNOGZion Oil & Gas, Inc.QOC 5.5

Read investment analysis: GPRK · GLND · REOS · TPL · FTW · BSM · CHRD · EPM · ZNOG

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to VIST?

7 companies across all industries closest to VIST’s Quality of Company score of 2.8/10.

GCLGCL Global Holdings LtdQOC 2.8MLCOMelco Resorts & Entertainment LimitedQOC 2.8AIIORobo.ai Inc.QOC 2.8VIKViking Holdings LtdQOC 2.8YIBOPlanet Image International LimitedQOC 2.8ONEGOneConstruction Group LimitedQOC 2.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: GCL · MLCO · AIIO · VIK · YIBO · ONEG · NVDA

Where Does VIST Sit in CirclFi's Oil & Gas E&P Rankings?

VIST is ranked against every other Oil & Gas E&P stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Oil & Gas E&P stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.’s Valuation?

What is Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST). The Quality of Company score is 2.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is VIST overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $70.14, 0 of 0 active models suggest VIST may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.'s business model in Oil & Gas E&P.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.8 mean for VIST?

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.'s QOC of 2.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on VIST?

CirclFi analyzes VIST with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 0 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is VIST a value trap in 2026?

Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) a Quality of Company score of 2.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/VIST/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this VIST valuation
  • Financial statements: Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001762506) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for VIST as of ; valuations recomputed .