What Is Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $45.90. Trading at $65.62, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -30.0%), as 8 of 12 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $107.77 (+64.2%), versus Markov DDM at $0.11 (-99.8%). This +164.1% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About VIST?
12 of 13 models are currently active for VIST. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates VIST's intrinsic value at $32.80, implying -50.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does VIST Rank in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas?
Among 80 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks, VIST ranks #67 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.3 signals below-average fundamentals.
See all Most Undervalued Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas Stocks →
Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V.'s positioning within the Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas segment means that debt-to-EBITDAX plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including capital discipline — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is VIST a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for VIST. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Vista Energy S.A.B. de C.V. earns a quality score of 2.3/10. This concerning rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +164.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every VIST valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across VIST's 12 active models, average confidence is 12%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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