Presidio Production Company (FTW) Fair Value 2026

FTW · Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-17, Presidio Production Company (FTW) trades at $12.14, approximately 265% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $3.33. QOC: 2.0/10. 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FTW
Price
$12.14
Quality Score
2.0/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: 10 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.0/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Presidio Production Company (FTW) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Presidio Production Company (FTW) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $8.06, 33.6% below the current price of $12.14. Estimates range from $3.33 to $12.25. FTW scores 2.0/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Presidio Production Company Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($12.14)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$3.33 -72.6%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$8.18 -32.6%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$4.90 -59.6%
Markov DDM
Low Conviction
$11.53 -5.0%

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What Is Presidio Production Company (FTW) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Presidio Production Company's intrinsic value is estimated at $7.73, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $12.14. With 9 out of 10 models flagging downside (-36.3% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +0.9% (fair value: $12.25), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -72.6% ($3.33). The spread between these extremes — +73.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About FTW?

10 of 13 models are currently active for FTW. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates FTW's intrinsic value at $3.33, implying -72.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FTW Rank in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas?

Among 80 Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks, FTW ranks #75 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.0 signals below-average fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas Stocks →

As a oil and gas company, Presidio Production Company operates in a sector where reserve replacement ratio is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating FTW should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is FTW a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for FTW. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Presidio Production Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Presidio Production Company is rated at 2.0/10. This weak-tier score exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +73.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FTW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FTW's 10 active models, average confidence is 3%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Presidio Production Company Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: EOG · MGY · HESM · PR · FANG

See all Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Presidio Production Company

What is Presidio Production Company's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Presidio Production Company (FTW) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $3.33. The Quality of Company score is 2.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FTW overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $12.14, 1 of 10 active models suggest FTW may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $8.06, 33.6% below the current price of $12.14 — a consensus view that FTW is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Presidio Production Company's business model in Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.0 mean for FTW?

Presidio Production Company's QOC of 2.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FTW?

CirclFi analyzes FTW with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is FTW a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for FTW at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Presidio Production Company (FTW) has a median fair value of $8.06 — 33.6% below the current price of $12.14 — as of 2026-07-17.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/FTW/ · Methodology

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