What Is Golub Capital BDC, Inc. (GBDC) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Golub Capital BDC, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $19.71, suggesting a +51.4% average upside from the current price of $13.02. While 6 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 2 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: ML-RIV targets $38.36 (+194.7%), versus First Chicago at $3.82 (-70.7%). This +265.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About GBDC?
9 of 13 models are currently active for GBDC. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GBDC's intrinsic value at $26.74, implying +105.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does GBDC Rank in —?
GBDC operates in the — sector. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.2 indicates above-average quality.
Golub Capital BDC, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is GBDC a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GBDC a score of 22/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
9 of 13 models are active for Golub Capital BDC, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Golub Capital BDC, Inc. scores 7.2 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +265.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every GBDC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across GBDC's 9 active models, average confidence is 35%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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