Saratoga Investment Corp New (SAR) Fair Value 2026

SAR · — ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Saratoga Investment Corp New (SAR) trades at $19.20, approximately 299% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $4.81. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SAR
Price
$19.20
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +146.9% upside with 3% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($19.20)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$4.81 -74.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$47.41 +146.9%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$6.08 -68.3%
RCMH-DCF
Medium Conviction
$4.21 -78.1%

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What Is Saratoga Investment Corp New (SAR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Saratoga Investment Corp New presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $19.20. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $22.24 (+15.8% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 5 bullish models and 5 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: ML-RIV targets $59.96 (+212.3%), versus EROIC at $2.05 (-89.3%). This +301.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About SAR?

10 of 13 models are currently active for SAR. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SAR's intrinsic value at $4.81, implying -74.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SAR Rank in —?

SAR operates in the — sector. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

Saratoga Investment Corp New operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is SAR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SAR a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Saratoga Investment Corp New. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Saratoga Investment Corp New earns a quality score of 6.6/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +301.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SAR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SAR's 10 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Saratoga Investment Corp New Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar — Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related — stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About Saratoga Investment Corp New

What is Saratoga Investment Corp New's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Saratoga Investment Corp New (SAR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $4.81. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SAR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $19.20, 5 of 10 active models suggest SAR may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Saratoga Investment Corp New's business model in —.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for SAR?

Saratoga Investment Corp New's QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SAR?

CirclFi analyzes SAR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SAR a value trap in 2026?

Saratoga Investment Corp New's Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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