Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. (GSBD) Fair Value 2026

GSBD · — ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

— (—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. (GSBD) trades at $8.96, approximately 48% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $6.05. QOC: 5.5/10. 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GSBD
Price
$8.96
Quality Score
5.5/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: RCMH-DCF suggests +427.1% upside with 43% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. (GSBD) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. (GSBD) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $7.93, 11.4% below the current price of $8.96. Estimates range from $1.42 to $47.20. GSBD scores 5.5/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($8.96)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
 $6.05 -32.4%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
 $9.11 +1.7%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
 $2.55 -71.6%
RCMH-DCF
Medium Conviction
 $47.20 +427.1%

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What Is Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. (GSBD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite $11.76, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $8.96. While the average implied return is +31.4%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +511.2% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $47.20 (+427.1%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $1.42 (-84.1%). This +511.2% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About GSBD?

10 of 13 models are currently active for GSBD. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GSBD's intrinsic value at $6.05, implying -32.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GSBD Rank in —?

GSBD operates in the — sector. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.5 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is GSBD a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for GSBD. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. scores 5.5 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a moderate rating that shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +511.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GSBD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GSBD's 10 active models, average confidence is 32%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar — Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related — stocks with 13-model coverage

PSECProspect Capital CorporationQOC 8.4SCMStellus Capital Investment CorpQOC 7.8FDUSFidus Investment CorporationQOC 7.6HTGCHercules Capital, Inc.QOC 7.6GLADGladstone Capital CorporationQOC 7.4TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC QOC 7.3OXSQOxford Square Capital Corp.QOC 7.2GBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc.QOC 7.2

Read investment analysis: PSEC · SCM · FDUS · HTGC · GLAD

Frequently Asked Questions About Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.

What is Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. (GSBD) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $6.05. The Quality of Company score is 5.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GSBD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $8.96, 4 of 10 active models suggest GSBD may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $7.93, 11.4% below the current price of $8.96 — a consensus view that GSBD is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.'s business model in —.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.5 mean for GSBD?

Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc.'s QOC of 5.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GSBD?

CirclFi analyzes GSBD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GSBD a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for GSBD at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Goldman Sachs BDC, Inc. (GSBD) has a median fair value of $7.93 — 11.4% below the current price of $8.96 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GSBD/ · Methodology

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